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intégration économique et convergence des cycles : une analyse entre le Cameroun et le Nigéria
[Economic Integration and cycle convergence: an analysis between Cameroon and Nigeria]

Author

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  • Awoutcha Tchieuzing, Romuald Fernand
  • Fotsing Waffo, Florent Ulrich

Abstract

Does the deepening of bilateral trade between Cameroon and Nigeria strengthen the links between their economic cycles in such a way as to eventually lead to a synchronous evolution? This is the question we attempt to answer here. To do this, two approaches are highlighted: the cycle approach on the one hand. The other is the concordance index of Harding and Pagan (2006), on the other hand. The results obtained show that there is a strong synchronization between the economic cycles of the two countries. The deepening of economic integration between Cameroon and Nigeria constitutes a vector of cyclical transmission and therefore increases the probability of transmission of crises and financial tensions.

Suggested Citation

  • Awoutcha Tchieuzing, Romuald Fernand & Fotsing Waffo, Florent Ulrich, 2023. "intégration économique et convergence des cycles : une analyse entre le Cameroun et le Nigéria [Economic Integration and cycle convergence: an analysis between Cameroon and Nigeria]," MPRA Paper 116791, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:116791
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Intégration économique; Synchronisation; Cycle économique;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F19 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Other

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