IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/110408.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Impact of COVID-19 on the Nigerian Stock Exchange Market

Author

Listed:
  • Safiyanu, Babangida Danladi
  • Isa, Musa
  • Lawan, Isah Isah

Abstract

Volatility in financial markets particularly the stock exchange market is an important issue that concerns theorists and practitioners. This paper examined the impact of COVID-19 related cases and death on the Nigerian stock exchange market. Using the number of reported cases and death in Nigeria, China, and the US, and Nigerian stock exchange all share index daily data from 31st December 2019 to 16th April 2020, the study estimated GARCH 11, TGARCH 11, and EGARCH 11. The selection of best model was done based on Akaike Info, Schwarz and Hannan-quinn information Criteria; we found GARCH 11, TGARCH 11, and EGARCH 11 to be the best models. The study shows that only Nigerian confirmed cases have a significant impact on the Nigerian Stock Exchange's All Share Index (NSE's ASI), suggesting that the changes in the external cases and death from China and U.S do not have a significant impact on the NSE's ASI 2 during the period of analysis. Also, TGARCH 11 and E-GARCH 11 indicate the absence of leverage effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Safiyanu, Babangida Danladi & Isa, Musa & Lawan, Isah Isah, 2020. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Nigerian Stock Exchange Market," MPRA Paper 110408, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:110408
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/110408/1/MPRA_paper_110408.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 622-655.
    2. Niels Joachim Gormsen & Ralph S J Koijen & Nikolai Roussanov, 0. "Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 574-597.
    3. Chunyan Wang & Wentao Li & Dubravka Drabek & Nisreen M. A. Okba & Rien Haperen & Albert D. M. E. Osterhaus & Frank J. M. Kuppeveld & Bart L. Haagmans & Frank Grosveld & Berend-Jan Bosch, 2020. "A human monoclonal antibody blocking SARS-CoV-2 infection," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-6, December.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    5. Scott R Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J Davis & Kyle Kost & Marco Sammon & Tasaneeya Viratyosin & Jeffrey Pontiff, 0. "The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 742-758.
    6. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F Wagner, 0. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 622-655.
    7. Chunyan Wang & Wentao Li & Dubravka Drabek & Nisreen M. A. Okba & Rien Haperen & Albert D. M. E. Osterhaus & Frank J. M. Kuppeveld & Bart L. Haagmans & Frank Grosveld & Berend-Jan Bosch, 2020. "Publisher Correction: A human monoclonal antibody blocking SARS-CoV-2 infection," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-1, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Contessi, Silvio & De Pace, Pierangelo, 2021. "The international spread of COVID-19 stock market collapses," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Yashraj Varma & Renuka Venkataramani & Parthajit Kayal & Moinak Maiti, 2021. "Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Indian Stock Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-15, November.
    3. Rasa Kanapickiene & Deimante Teresiene & Daiva Budriene & Greta Keliuotytė-Staniulėnienė & Jekaterina Kartasova, 2020. "The Impact Of Covid-19 On European Financial Markets And Economic Sentiment," Economy & Business Journal, International Scientific Publications, Bulgaria, vol. 14(1), pages 144-163.
    4. Pascal Böni & Heinz Zimmermann, 2021. "Are stock prices driven by expected growth rather than discount rates? Evidence based on the COVID-19 crisis," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(1), pages 1-29, June.
    5. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2024. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 1719-1753, June.
    6. Pagano, Marco & Wagner, Christian & Zechner, Josef, 2023. "Disaster resilience and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
    7. Eddie C. M. Hui & Ka Kwan Kevin Chan, 2022. "How does Covid-19 affect global equity markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, December.
    8. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2021. "Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19: Moderating role of national culture," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Investor attention and global market returns during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Steven J. Davis & Dingqian Liu & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022. "Stock Prices and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(1), pages 32-67, March.
    11. Ortmann, Regina & Pelster, Matthias & Wengerek, Sascha Tobias, 2020. "COVID-19 and investor behavior," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    12. Nozawa, Yoshio & Qiu, Yancheng, 2021. "Corporate bond market reactions to quantitative easing during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    13. Heyden, Kim J. & Heyden, Thomas, 2021. "Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: An event study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    14. Laura Alfaro & Anusha Chari & Andrew N. Greenland & Peter K. Schott, 2020. "Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time," NBER Working Papers 26950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. repec:zbw:bofitp:2020_015 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Xidonas, Panos & Goutte, Stephane & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2024. "Introducing the GVAR-GARCH model: Evidence from financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    17. Ducret, Romain, 2021. "Investors' perception of business group membership during an economic crisis : Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," FSES Working Papers 524, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    18. Peng-Fei Dai & Xiong Xiong & Zhifeng Liu & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Jianjun Sun, 2021. "Preventing crash in stock market: The role of economic policy uncertainty during COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    19. Gregory, Richard Paul, 2022. "ESG scores and the response of the S&P 1500 to monetary and fiscal policy during the Covid-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 446-456.
    20. Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik & Neng Wang & Xiao Xu & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Pandemics, Vaccines and an Earnings Damage Function," NBER Working Papers 27829, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Navratil, Robert & Taylor, Stephen & Vecer, Jan, 2021. "On equity market inefficiency during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; EGARCH 11; TGARCH 11; Nigerian Stock Exchange; All share Index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:110408. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.