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World Equity Markets and COVID-19: Immediate Response and Recovery Prospects

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  • Seven, Unal
  • Yilmaz, Fatih

Abstract

The actual macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic will be realized over time; however, its impact on financial markets was much faster and dramatic. Following the spread of the pandemic, most global equity markets experienced significant falls and started to rebound with the announcement of economic rescue packages. However, the equity markets’ responses to the packages have varied across countries. In this paper, we first look at what may explain the differences in the equity market falls across-countries. Secondly, we study the systematic relation between the size and the type of rescue packages, the severity of the outbreak and the recovery performance of equity markets. Using cross-country OLS regressions, we find that investors’ immediate reaction to equity markets in countries with higher pandemic related deaths is more negative. Moreover, our results show that not all types of rescue packages are effective in restoring investors’ valuation of equity markets. Among different types, fiscal stimulus support seems to be a stronger predictor of equity market recovery performance. We also find that the severity of the outbreak in each country affected the equity markets’ reactions.

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  • Seven, Unal & Yilmaz, Fatih, 2020. "World Equity Markets and COVID-19: Immediate Response and Recovery Prospects," MPRA Paper 100987, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:100987
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    1. Zhang, Dayong & Hu, Min & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Angosto-Fernández Pedro Luis & Ferrández-Serrano Victoria, 2022. "World capital markets facing the first wave of COVID-19: Traditional event study versus sensitivity to new cases," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 8(4), pages 5-38, December.
    2. Zheng, Wenyuan & Li, Bingqing & Huang, Zhiyong & Chen, Lu, 2022. "Why Was There More Household Stock Market Participation During the COVID-19 Pandemic?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
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    4. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Doukas, John A., 2022. "COVID-19 and Tail-event Driven Network Risk in the Eurozone," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    6. Yarovaya, Larisa & Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2021. "The effects of a “black swan” event (COVID-19) on herding behavior in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    7. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2022. "The influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the hedging functionality of Chinese financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    8. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Angelini, Eliana, 2021. "Feverish sentiment and global equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1088-1108.
    9. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2023. "Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, February.
    10. , Aisdl, 2020. "Determinants of Stock Market Investors’ Behavior in COVID-19: A Study on the Pakistan Stock Exchange," OSF Preprints 4s9xe, Center for Open Science.
    11. Neupane, Suman & Fan, Zhebin & Yanes Sanchez, Daniel & Neupane, Biwesh, 2024. "Diverse investor reactions to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Insights from an emerging market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Chang, Chiu-Lan & Fang, Ming, 2022. "The connectedness between natural resource commodities and stock market indices: Evidence from the Chinese economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Dogru, Tarik & Akyildirim, Erdinc & Cepni, Oguzhan & Ozdemir, Ozgur & Sharma, Abhinav & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2022. "The effect of environmental, social and governance risks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    14. Imlak Shaikh, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the energy markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 433-484, February.
    15. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2024. "Capturing the timing of crisis evolution: A machine learning and directional wavelet coherence approach to isolating event-specific uncertainty using Google searches with an application to COVID-19," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    16. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2023. "Which COVID-19 information really impacts stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    17. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem & Tabash, Mosab I. & Hassan, M. Kabir, 2022. "Are Islamic banks more resilient to the crises vis-à-vis conventional banks? Evidence from the COVID-19 shock using stock market data," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Wang, Junchuan, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 on the volatility connectedness of the Chinese tourism sector," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    19. Zhang, YunQian, 2022. "Influence of stock market factors on the natural resources dependence for environmental change: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    20. shear, Falik & Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2022. "The performance of Islamic versus conventional stocks during the COVID-19 shock: Evidence from firm-level data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    21. Dmitry A. Endovitsky & Viacheslav V. Korotkikh & Denis A. Khripushin, 2021. "Equity Risk and Return across Hidden Market Regimes," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-21, October.
    22. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2021. "Risk spillover from crude oil prices to GCC stock market returns: New evidence during the COVID-19 outbreak," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    23. Li, Yanshuang & Shi, Yujie & Shi, Yongdong & Yi, Shangkun & Zhang, Weiping, 2023. "COVID-19 vaccinations and risk spillovers: Evidence from Asia-Pacific stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    24. Bessler, Wolfgang & Vendrasco, Marco, 2022. "Short-selling restrictions and financial stability in Europe: Evidence from the Covid-19 crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Stock Markets; Stimulus Packages; Recovery;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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