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A Comparative Note About Estimation of the Fractional Parameter under Additive Outliers

Author

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  • Gabriel Rodriguez

    (Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

Abstract

In a recent paper, Fajardo et al (2009) propose an alternative semiparametric estimator of the fractional parameter in ARFIMA models which is robust to the presence of additive outliers. The results are very interesting, however, they use samples of 300 or 800 observations which are rarely found in macroeconomics or economics. In order to perform a comparison, I use the procedure to detect for additive outliers based on the estimator Tau- d suggested by Perron and Rodríguez (2003). Further, I use dummy variables associated to the location of the selected outliers to estimate the fractional parameter. I found better results for the mean and bias of this parameter when T = 100 and the results in terms of the standard deviation and the MSE are very similar. However, for higher sample sizes as 300 or 800, the robust procedure performs better, specially based on the standard deviation and MSE measures. Empirical applications for seven Latin American ination series with very small sample sizes contaminated by additive outliers is discussed. What we nd is that when no correction for additive outliers is performed, the fractional parameter is underestimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Rodriguez, 2013. "A Comparative Note About Estimation of the Fractional Parameter under Additive Outliers," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2013-356, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00356
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pierre Perron & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2003. "Searching For Additive Outliers In Nonstationary Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 193-220, March.
    2. Timothy J. Vogelsang, 1999. "Two Simple Procedures for Testing for a Unit Root When There are Additive Outliers," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 237-252, March.
    3. Chan, Wai-sum, 1995. "Outliers and financial time series modelling: A cautionary note," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 425-430.
    4. Franses, Philip Hans & Haldrup, Niels, 1994. "The Effects of Additive Outliers on Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 471-478, October.
    5. Chareka, Patrick & Matarise, Florance & Turner, Rolf, 2006. "A test for additive outliers applicable to long-memory time series," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 595-621, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Additive Outliers; ARFIMA Errors; semiparametric estimation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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