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Inflation Volatility and the Inflation-Growth Tradeoff in India

Author

Listed:
  • Raghbendra Jha
  • Varsha S. Kulkarni

Abstract

This paper extends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility and tests the determinants of such volatility for India. It provides results on the determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation volatility for OLS and ARDL (1,1) models and for change in inflation volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using ECM models. Output gap affects change in expected inflation volatility (in the ECM model) and not in the other models. Major determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation volatility are identified.

Suggested Citation

  • Raghbendra Jha & Varsha S. Kulkarni, 2012. "Inflation Volatility and the Inflation-Growth Tradeoff in India," ASARC Working Papers 2012-11, The Australian National University, Australia South Asia Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:pas:asarcc:2012-11
    as

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    File URL: https://crawford.anu.edu.au/acde/asarc/pdf/papers/2012/WP2012_11.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kapur, Muneesh & Behera, Harendra, 2012. "Monetary Transmission Mechanism in India: A Quarterly Model," MPRA Paper 70631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. John Duffy & Wei Xiao, 2011. "Investment and Monetary Policy: Learning and Determinacy of Equilibrium," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 959-992, August.
    3. John Duffy & Wei Xiao, 2007. "Investment and Monetary Policy: Learning and Determinacy of Equilibrium," Working Paper 324, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh, revised Aug 2008.
    4. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2008. "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 1-22, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Inflation volatility; ARDL model; ECM model; Output gap; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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