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Life expectancy, adult mortality and completeness of death counts in Brazil and regions: comparative analysis of IHME, IBGE and other researchers estimates of levels and trends

Author

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  • Queiroz, Bernardo L

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil)

  • Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto
  • Nogales, Ana Maria
  • Torrente, Bruno
  • de Abreu, Daisy Maria Xavier

Abstract

Estimates of completeness of death registration are crucial to produce estimates of life tables, population projections and to the global burden of diseases study. They are an imperative step in quality of data analysis. In the case of state level data in Brazil, it is important to consider spatial and temporal variation in the quality of mortality data. In this paper, we compare and discuss alternative estimates of completeness of death registration, adult mortality (45q15) and life expectancy estimates produced by the National Statistics Office (IBGE), Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and estimates presented in Queiroz, et.al (2017) and Schmertmann and Gonzaga (2018), for 1980 and 2010. We find significant differences in estimates that affect both levels and trends of completeness of adult mortality in Brazil and states. IHME and Queiroz, et.al (2017) estimates converge in 2010, but there are large differences when compared to estimates from the National Statistics Office (IBGE). Larger differences are observed for less developed states.

Suggested Citation

  • Queiroz, Bernardo L & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Nogales, Ana Maria & Torrente, Bruno & de Abreu, Daisy Maria Xavier, 2019. "Life expectancy, adult mortality and completeness of death counts in Brazil and regions: comparative analysis of IHME, IBGE and other researchers estimates of levels and trends," OSF Preprints pj3sx_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:pj3sx_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/pj3sx_v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carl P. Schmertmann & Marcos R. Gonzaga, 2018. "Bayesian Estimation of Age-Specific Mortality and Life Expectancy for Small Areas With Defective Vital Records," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(4), pages 1363-1388, August.
    2. Schmertmann, Carl & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto, 2018. "Bayesian estimation of age-specific mortality and life expectancy for small areas with defective vital records," SocArXiv syzwx_v1, Center for Open Science.
    3. Monica Alexander & Emilio Zagheni & Magali Barbieri, 2017. "A Flexible Bayesian Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(6), pages 2025-2041, December.
    4. Samuel Preston, 1983. "An integrated system for demographic estimation from two age distributions," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 20(2), pages 213-226, May.
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