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Recent Reforms in Spanish Housing Markets: An Evaluation using a DSGE Model

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  • Juan S Mora-Sanguinetti
  • Margarita Rubio

Abstract

After a long academic debate, Spain finally repealed in 2012 the deduction for home purchase. The abrogation took effect in 2013. In parallel, the VAT for the purchase of new housing was increased after a short period in which it had a reduced rate. The aim of this paper is to assess the macroeconomic effects of these two relevant housing market reforms. In order to do that, we use a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model calibrated to capture the key ratios of the Spanish economy. The model includes a housing market, covering both the rental market side and the property market side and credit-constrained agents. We find that these measures drive down housing prices and have a negative impact on output and employment in the construction sector. However, in the long run, this last effect is offset by the benefits of a reduction in distortionary taxes.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan S Mora-Sanguinetti & Margarita Rubio, 2013. "Recent Reforms in Spanish Housing Markets: An Evaluation using a DSGE Model," Discussion Papers 2013/03, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    • Handle: RePEc:not:notcfc:13/03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Rubio Margarita, 2019. "Rented vs. owner-occupied housing and monetary policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-16, January.
    2. Funke, Michael & Kirkby, Robert & Mihaylovski, Petar, 2018. "House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 152-171.
    3. Vinicius Phillipe de Albuquerquemello & Cássio Besarria, 2020. "Rental market and macroeconomics: evidence for the US," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(3), pages 587-603, August.
    4. Stähler, Nikolai, 2019. "Who benefits from using property taxes to finance a labor tax wedge reduction?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    5. Rubio, Margarita & Carrasco-Gallego, José A., 2016. "Coordinating macroprudential policies within the Euro area: The case of Spain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 570-582.
    6. Ge, Xinyu & Li, Xiao-Lin & Zheng, Ling, 2020. "The transmission of financial shocks in an estimated DSGE model with housing and banking," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 215-231.
    7. Hinterlang, Natascha & Martin, Anika & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2022. "Using energy and emissions taxation to finance labor tax reductions in a multi-sector economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    8. Lenhle Dlamini & Harold Ngalawa, 2022. "Macroprudential policy and house prices in an estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model for South Africa," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 304-336, June.
    9. Ruppert, Kilian & Schön, Matthias & Stähler, Nikolai, 2024. "Consumption taxation to finance pension payments," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    10. Miguel-Ángel López García, 2017. "Ya no hay desgravaciones por vivienda. Pero ¿puede haber política impositiva dirigida a la vivienda?," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 223(4), pages 11-26, December.
    11. Bielecki, Marcin & Stähler, Nikolai, 2022. "Labor Tax Reductions In Europe: The Role Of Property Taxation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 419-451, March.
    12. Funke, Michael & Kirkby, Robert & Mihaylovski, Petar, 2018. "House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 152-171.
    13. Lozano Navarro, Francisco-Javier & Idrovo Aguirre, Byron, 2023. "Shocks regulatorios al mercado inmobiliario de Chile: ¿Cuánto del IVA a la vivienda se transfiere a precio de venta? [Regulatory shocks to housing market: How much of the Chilean VAT on housing sal," MPRA Paper 120017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Hinterlang, Natascha & Martin, Anika & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2021. "Using energy and emissions taxation to finance labor tax reductions in a multi-sector economy: An assessment with EMuSe," Discussion Papers 50/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    15. Hirsch, Patrick, 2019. "Heterogeneous rental markets in a DSGE model of the euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203633, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Lishan Xiao & Quanyi Qiu & Lijie Gao, 2016. "Chinese Housing Reform and Social Sustainability: Evidence from Post-Reform Home Ownership," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-14, October.
    17. Mérő, Bence & Borsos, András & Hosszú, Zsuzsanna & Oláh, Zsolt & Vágó, Nikolett, 2023. "A high-resolution, data-driven agent-based model of the housing market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    18. Charpe, Matthieu & Kühn, Stefan, 2015. "Demand and supply effects of bargaining power shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 21-32.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing Market Reforms; Rental Market; House Prices; Home Purchase Deduction; VAT on New Home Purchase;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • K34 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Tax Law

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