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The paradox of debt and Minsky cycle: Nonlinear effects of debt and capital, and variety of capitalism

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  • Yuki Tada

    (Department of Economics, New School for Social Research, USA)

Abstract

The main aim of this paper is to study the variety of financialized capitalism which are contingent on the institution, policy, and path dependency. Using the neo-Kaleckian model we study to model the US and UK shareholder-oriented financialized capitalism using our own version of the Minskyan cycle. Meanwhile, Japanese partially fledged financialized capitalism with high retention rates of firms is analyzed by using the paradox of the debt (Steindl) cycle. The analysis shows (1) instability arises when firms have a high retention rate of profit to deleverage; (2) debt-led Minsky regime and the debt-burdened paradox of debt regime can be distinguished by setting sufficiently low retention rates for the former and sufficiently high retention rate for the latter; (3) both in the Minskyan and Steindl regime we observe fixed capital investment is sluggish and observe secular stagnation in accumulation rate; (4) in the Steindl paradox of debt model, the debt-burdened economic stagnation transforms into a long wave cyclical growth with sufficiently high firms animal spirits, which exhibits the possibility of the investment-led cyclical growth after the secular stagnation from the paradox of debt.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuki Tada, 2023. "The paradox of debt and Minsky cycle: Nonlinear effects of debt and capital, and variety of capitalism," Working Papers 2304, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:new:wpaper:2304
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    File URL: http://www.economicpolicyresearch.org/econ/2023/NSSR_WP_042023.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Minsky; paradox of debt; capitalism; growth; financial instability; supercycle;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B52 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Modern Monetary Theory;
    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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