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Career Expectations and Outcomes: Evidence (on Gender Gaps) from the Economics Job Market

Author

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  • Brooke Helppie McFall
  • Eric D. Parolin
  • Basit Zafar

Abstract

This paper investigates gender gaps in long-term career expectations and outcomes of PhD candidates in economics. For this purpose, we match rich survey data on PhD candidates (from the 2008-2010 job market cohorts) to public data on job histories and publication records through 2022. We document four novel empirical facts: (1) there is a robust gender gap in career expectations, with females about 10 percentage points less likely to ex-ante expect to get tenure or publish regularly; (2) the gender gap in expectations is remarkably similar to the gap observed for academic outcomes; (3) expectations are similarly predictive of outcomes for males and females. In addition, the predictive power of expectations does not differ by the relationship status of the individual; and (4) gender gaps in expectations can explain about 19% and 13% of the ex-post gaps in tenure and publications, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Brooke Helppie McFall & Eric D. Parolin & Basit Zafar, 2024. "Career Expectations and Outcomes: Evidence (on Gender Gaps) from the Economics Job Market," NBER Working Papers 32446, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32446
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    Cited by:

    1. Brodeur, Abel & Kattan, Lamis & Musumeci, Marco, 2024. "Job Market Stars," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1514, Global Labor Organization (GLO).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J44 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Professional Labor Markets and Occupations

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