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FDI Inflows and Domestic Firms: Adjustments to New Export Opportunities

Author

Listed:
  • Brian McCaig
  • Nina Pavcnik
  • Woan Foong Wong

Abstract

We investigate a low-income country’s long run employment response to new export opportunities. The U.S.–Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement reduced U.S. import tariffs on exports from Vietnam. Employment grew faster in the industries most exposed to the U.S. tariff reductions and this was driven by foreign affiliates of multinationals entering Vietnam. Foreign entrants continue to expand employment long after entry–even after 16 years. Most foreign entrants are exporters and from East Asia, highlighting that opportunities created by bilateral agreements are not just limited to signing parties. Vietnam’s subsequent capacity growth allows it to export to other markets over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian McCaig & Nina Pavcnik & Woan Foong Wong, 2022. "FDI Inflows and Domestic Firms: Adjustments to New Export Opportunities," NBER Working Papers 30729, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:30729
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    Cited by:

    1. Rotunno, Lorenzo & Roy, Sanchari & Sakakibara, Anri & Vezina, Pierre-Louis, 2023. "Trade Policy and Jobs in Vietnam: The Unintended Consequences of Trump’s Trade War," SocArXiv 9rdne, Center for Open Science.
    2. Bernard Hoekman & Marco Sanfilippo & Margherita Tambussi, 2023. "Foreign Direct Investment and Structural Transformation in Africa," RSCAS Working Papers 2023/02, European University Institute.
    3. Karin Mayr-Dorn & Gaia Narciso & Duc Anh Dang & Hien Phan, 2023. "Trade diversion and labor market adjustment: Vietnam and the U.S.-China trade war," Trinity Economics Papers tep0923, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    4. Haishi Li & Zhi Li & Ziho Park & Yulin Wang & Jing Wu, 2024. "To Comply or Not to Comply: Understanding Neutral Country Supply Chain Responses to Russian Sanctions," CESifo Working Paper Series 11110, CESifo.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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