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Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China

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  • Hanming Fang
  • Chunmian Ge
  • Hanwei Huang
  • Hongbin Li

Abstract

This paper studies how the COVID-19 pandemic has affected labor demand using over 100 million posted jobs on one of the largest online platforms in China. Our data reveals that, due to the effects of the pandemic both in China and abroad, the number of newly posted jobs within the first 13 weeks after the Wuhan lockdown on January 23, 2020 was about one third lower than that of the same lunar calendar weeks in 2018 and 2019. Using econometric methods, we show that, via the global supply chain, COVID-19 cases abroad and in particular pandemic-control policies by foreign governments reduced new job creations in China by 11.7%. We also find that Chinese firms most exposed to international trade outperformed other firms at the beginning of the pandemic but underperformed during recovery as the Novel Coronavirus spread throughout the world.

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  • Hanming Fang & Chunmian Ge & Hanwei Huang & Hongbin Li, 2020. "Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China," NBER Working Papers 28072, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28072
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gong, Da & Shang, Zhuocheng & Su, Yaqin & Yan, Andong & Zhang, Qi, 2024. "Economic impacts of China's zero-COVID policies," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Hu, Jiayin & Wang, Xuan & Yang, Qingxu & Yi, Junjian, 2024. "Gender disparities in the labor market during COVID-19 lockdowns: Evidence from online job postings and applications in China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 199-215.
    4. Zeng, Xiangquan & Chu, Shuai & Chen, Xuan, 2022. "China's Labor Market Demand in the Shadow of COVID-19: Evidence from an Online Job Board," IZA Discussion Papers 15201, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Zeng, Xiangquan & Chu, Shuai & Chen, Xuan, 2022. "China's Labor Market Demand in the Shadow of COVID-19: Evidence from an Online Job Board," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1074, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    6. Qi Zhang & Xinxin Zhang & Qi Cui & Weining Cao & Ling He & Yexin Zhou & Xiaofan Li & Yunpeng Fan, 2022. "The Unequal Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Labour Market and Income Inequality in China: A Multisectoral CGE Model Analysis Coupled with a Micro-Simulation Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-21, January.

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    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor

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