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The Dynamics of Housing Prices

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  • Sheridan Titman
  • Ko Wang
  • Jing Yang

Abstract

We analyze the prices of owner-occupied housing in 97 metropolitan areas between 1980 and 2011. Our tests indicate that price changes exhibit positive serial correlation at the one year intervals, with subsequent reversals of price changes over longer intervals. Consistent with our simple model, regional differences in observed price patterns reflect differences in the serial correlation of the demand shocks as well as the elasticity of supply responses.

Suggested Citation

  • Sheridan Titman & Ko Wang & Jing Yang, 2014. "The Dynamics of Housing Prices," NBER Working Papers 20418, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20418
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    Cited by:

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    2. Murray, Cameron, 2020. "A housing supply absorption rate equation," OSF Preprints 7n8rj, Center for Open Science.
    3. Thanh Nguyen & Arsenio Staer & Jing Yang, 2024. "Productivity Shocks of Dominant Companies and Local Housing Markets," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 27(2), pages 203-247.
    4. Bolgorian, Meysam, 2019. "Can a cusp catastrophe model describe the effect of sanctions on exchange rates?," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Andrew Demers & Andrea L. Eisfeldt, 2022. "Total returns to single‐family rentals," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 7-32, March.
    6. Dittmann Iwona, 2017. "Similarity of Changes in Average Prices of Residential Properties in Europe in 2010-2016," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 25(4), pages 63-74, December.
    7. Andrea Eisfeldt & Andrew Demers, 2015. "Total Returns to Single Family Rentals," NBER Working Papers 21804, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Zhou, Zhengyi, 2016. "Overreaction to policy changes in the housing market: Evidence from Shanghai," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 26-41.
    9. Daniel L. Tortorice, 2019. "Long-Run Expectations, Learning and the US Housing Market," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 497-531, October.
    10. Chi-Young Choi & Alexander Chudik & Aaron Smallwood, 2024. "Time-varying Persistence of House Price Growth: The Role of Expectations and Credit Supply," Globalization Institute Working Papers 426, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    11. Lan, Hao & Moreira, Fernando & Zhao, Sheng, 2023. "Can a house resale restriction policy curb speculation? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 841-859.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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