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Inflation and Individual Equities

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  • Andrew Ang
  • Marie Brière
  • Ombretta Signori

Abstract

We study the inflation hedging ability of individual stocks. While the poor inflation hedging ability of the aggregate stock market has long been documented, there is considerable heterogeneity in how individual stock returns covary with inflation. Stocks with good inflation-hedging abilities since 1990 have had higher returns, on average, than stocks with low inflation betas and tend to be drawn from the Oil and Gas and Technology sectors. However, we show that there is substantial time variation of stock inflation betas. This makes it difficult to construct portfolios of stocks that are good inflation hedges out of sample. This is true for portfolios constructed on past inflation betas, sector portfolios, and portfolios constructed from high-paying dividend stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Ang & Marie Brière & Ombretta Signori, 2012. "Inflation and Individual Equities," NBER Working Papers 17798, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17798
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    Cited by:

    1. Paulo Maio, 2014. "Another Look at the Stock Return Response to Monetary Policy Actions," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 321-371.
    2. Michael Weber & Christian Dorion & Alexandre Jeanneret & Harjoat Bhamra, 2017. "Deflation, Sticky Leverage and Asset Prices," 2017 Meeting Papers 796, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Boon, L.N. & Brière, M. & Rigot, S., 2018. "Regulation and pension fund risk-taking," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 23-41.
    4. Adcock, Christopher & Bessler, Wolfgang & Conlon, Thomas, 2022. "Characteristic-sorted portfolios and macroeconomic risks—An orthogonal decomposition," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 24-50.
    5. Ciner, Cetin, 2015. "Are equities good inflation hedges? A frequency domain perspective," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 12-17.
    6. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2016. "Hedging inflation with individual US stocks: A long-run portfolio analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 374-392.
    7. Boons, Martijn & Duarte, Fernando & de Roon, Frans & Szymanowska, Marta, 2020. "Time-varying inflation risk and stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 444-470.
    8. Stefania D'Amico & Thomas B. King, 2023. "One Asset Does Not Fit All: Inflation Hedging by Index and Horizon," Working Paper Series WP 2023-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    9. Ilya Gurov N. & Илья Гуров Николаевич, 2017. "Финансовые инструменты с защитой доходности от инфляции на российском рынке капитала: первый опыт и перспективы // Financial Instruments with Inflation-Protected Security of Yield in the Russian Capit," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 21(5), pages 140-149.
    10. Harsh Parikh & Rama K. Malladi & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2020. "Preparing for higher inflation: Portfolio solutions using U.S. equities," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(3), pages 542-554, July.
    11. Harjoat S. Bhamra & Christian Dorion & Alexandre Jeanneret & Michael Weber, 2018. "Low Inflation: High Default Risk AND High Equity Valuations," NBER Working Papers 25317, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Yaniv Konchitchki & Yan Luo & Mary L. Z. Ma & Feng Wu, 2016. "Accounting-based downside risk, cost of capital, and the macroeconomy," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-36, March.
    13. Tiong, Serena, 2013. "Pricing inflation-linked variable annuities under stochastic interest rates," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 77-86.
    14. Pesce, Gabriela & Pedroni, Florencia Verónica, 2021. "Inflación y rendimientos en mercados emergentes: el caso de Argentina || Inflation and returns in emerging markets: the case of Argentina," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 32(1), pages 341-375, December.
    15. Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark & Deisting, Florent & Kasmaoui, Kamal, 2023. "Dynamic inflation hedging performance and downside risk: A comparison between Islamic and conventional stock indices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 56-67.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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