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Flexible Exchange Rates and Interdependence

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  • Rudiger Dornbusch

Abstract

The paper was prepared for the NBER-IMF conference on Exchange Rate Policy and Interdependence. It reviews the experience with flexible exchange rates and the main policy alternatives that have been suggested. The theoretical part develops a modern open economy macro model with an emphasis on capital mobility, real and nominal wage stickiness and expectations. The impact of disturbances is discussed in terms of the underlying structure, in particular, the relative role of real and nominal inflexibility. Among the main policy alternatives the paper reviews the McKinnon proposal for world monetarism, and the band proposal. Both of these schemes are found unsatisfactory in coping with the chief problem of the current systems namely how to cope with the transition to low inflation. The alternative of capital controls, likewise, would not avoid the adverse consequences of monetary stabilization it would only influence the particular details of the international transmission.

Suggested Citation

  • Rudiger Dornbusch, 1982. "Flexible Exchange Rates and Interdependence," NBER Working Papers 1035, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1035
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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Erceg & Christopher Gust & David López-Salido, 2007. "The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in Open Economies," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 89-148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1987. "Exchange Rates and Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(1), pages 93-106, March.
    3. Grande, Giuseppe, 1997. "Properties of the monetary conditions index," MPRA Paper 23515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Yin-Wong Cheung, 2000. "Hong Kong Output Dynamics: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 112000, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    5. Christopher J. Erceg & Christopher Gust & David López-Salido, 2007. "The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in the Open Economy," NBER Working Papers 13613, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Yuen, Jude, 2002. "Effects of U.S. Inflation on Hong Kong and Singapore," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 603-619, September.
    7. Moumita Basu & Rilina Basu & Ranjanendra Narayan Nag, 2022. "A Dependent Economy Model of Employment, Real Exchange Rate and Debt Dynamics: Towards an Understanding of Pandemic Crisis," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(1), pages 85-113, February.
    8. Michael D. Bordo & Ehsan U. Choudhri & Anna J. Schwartz, 1984. "Money Growth Variability and Money Supply Interdependence Under InterestRate Control: Some Evidence For Canada," NBER Working Papers 1480, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Kim, Jongwoo, 2000. "The relationship between the monetary regime and output volatility: a multivariate GARCH-M model of the Japanese experience, 1919-1996," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 49-69, January.
    10. Sissoko, Yaya & Dibooglu, Sel, 2006. "The exchange rate system and macroeconomic fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 141-156, June.
    11. Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Huh, Hyeon-Seung & Harris, David, 2003. "The relative impact of the US and Japanese business cycles on the Australian economy," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 111-129, January.
    12. Dominguez, Kathryn M., 1986. "Are foreign exchange forecasts rational? : New evidence from survey data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 277-281.
    13. Chiou-Wei, Song-Zan & Zhu, Zhen, 2002. "Sources of export fluctuations: empirical evidence from Taiwan and South Korea, 1981-2000," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 105-118.
    14. Dibooglu, Selahattin, 1998. "The incidence and effects of macroeconomic disturbances under alternative exchange rate systems: evidence since the classical gold standard," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 225-241.

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