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The US Economy: A Changing Strategic Predicament

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  • Wynne Godley

Abstract

Right through the boom years prior to 2001, the U.S. economy faced a strategic predicament in that the main engine of growth (credit financed private spending) was unsustainable, from which it followed that the whole stance of U.S. fiscal policy would have to be radically changed if the New Economy were not to become stagnant. The boom was indeed broken because private expenditure fell relative to income. The potentially dire effects on the level of activity were mitigated by a transformation in the fiscal policy stance, accompanied by a radical change in attitudes toward budget deficits, which suddenly became respectable. This analysis argues that a new strategic predicament is on the horizon as a result of the exceptionally large and growing balance of payments deficit.

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  • Wynne Godley, 2003. "The US Economy: A Changing Strategic Predicament," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive 03-3, Levy Economics Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:lev:levysa:03-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Francis Cripps & Alex Izurieta & Ajit Singh, 2011. "Forum 2011," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 42(1), pages 228-261, January.
    2. Yannis Dafermos, 2018. "Debt cycles, instability and fiscal rules: a Godley–Minsky synthesis," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 42(5), pages 1277-1313.
    3. Yannis Dafermos, 2015. "Debt cycles, instability and fiscal rules: a Godley-Minsky model," Working Papers 20151509, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    4. Wynne Godley & Alex Izurieta, 2004. "L' economia statunitense: debolezze della ÒforteÓ ripresa," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 57(226), pages 151-160.
    5. Sornette, Didier & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2004. "Evidence of fueling of the 2000 new economy bubble by foreign capital inflow: implications for the future of the US economy and its stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 332(C), pages 412-440.

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