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Voting Power and Survival: The Case of a Ruling Party

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  • Jelnov, Artyom

    (Ariel University)

  • Jelnov, Pavel

    (Leibniz University of Hannover and Yezreel Valley College)

Abstract

In this article, we empirically study the survival of the ruling party in parliamentary democracies using a hazard rate model. We define survival of a crisis as being successful in a critical vote in the parliament. We develop a general probabilistic model of political crises and test it empirically. We find that during crises, parties in the parliament are likely to vote independently of each other. Thus, we receive as an empirical result what the previous voting power literature assumed.

Suggested Citation

  • Jelnov, Artyom & Jelnov, Pavel, 2019. "Voting Power and Survival: The Case of a Ruling Party," IZA Discussion Papers 12354, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp12354
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    voting power; coalitions; cabinet duration; Shapley-Shubik index; Rae index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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