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Estimating VAR-MGARCH models in multiple steps

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  • M. Angeles Carnero Fernández

    (Universidad de Alicante)

  • M. Hakan Eratalay

    (Dpto. Fundamentos del Análisis Económico)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the performance of multiple steps estimators of vector autoregressive multivariate conditional correlation GARCH models by means of Monte Carlo experiments. We show that if innovations are Gaussian, estimating the parameters in multiple steps is a reasonable alternative to the maximization of the full likelihood function. Our results also suggest that for the sample sizes usually encountered in financial econometrics, the differences between the volatility and correlation estimates obtained with the more efficient estimator and the multiple steps estimators are negligible. However, when innovations are distributed as a Student-t, using multiple steps estimators might not be a good idea.
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Suggested Citation

  • M. Angeles Carnero Fernández & M. Hakan Eratalay, 2012. "Estimating VAR-MGARCH models in multiple steps," Working Papers. Serie AD 2012-10, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    • Handle: RePEc:ivi:wpasad:2012-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    5. M. Hakan Eratalay & Evgenii Vladimirov, 2017. "Mapping the Stocks in MICEX: Who Is Central in Moscow Stock Exchange?," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-01/17, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    6. Julia S. Mehlitz & Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Time‐varying dynamics of expected shortfall in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 895-925, June.
    7. M. Hakan Eratalay & Evgenii V. Vladimirov, 2020. "Mapping the stocks in MICEX: Who is central in the Moscow Stock Exchange?," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(4), pages 581-620, October.
    8. Carnero M. Angeles & Eratalay M. Hakan, 2014. "Estimating VAR-MGARCH models in multiple steps," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 339-365, May.
    9. de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018. "MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
    10. Esposti, Roberto, 2021. "On the long-term common movement of resource and commodity prices.A methodological proposal," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Hashem Zarafat & Sascha Liebhardt & Mustafa Hakan Eratalay, 2022. "Do ESG Ratings Reduce the Asymmetry Behavior in Volatility?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-32, July.
    12. Ariana Paola Cortés à ngel & Mustafa Hakan Eratalay, 2021. "Deedp Diving Into The S&P 350 Europe Index Network Ans Its Reaction To Covid-19," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 134, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).
    13. Esposti, Roberto, 2017. "What Makes Commodity Prices Move Together? An Answer From A Dynamic Factor Model," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 260889, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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