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Vine-copula Based Models for Farmland Portfolio Management

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  • Feng, Xiaoguang
  • Hayes, Dermot J.

Abstract

U.S. farmland has achieved total returns of 10%-13% over the past decade with volatility of only 4%-5% (NCREIF Farmland Index). In addition, farmland returns have had low or negative correlation with traditional asset classes. These characteristics make farmland an attractive asset class for investors. Farmland, as a real asset, can also provide a hedge against inflation because farmland returns exhibit positive correlation with inflation. Over the past decade, annual U.S. farmland total return exceeds U.S. inflation rate by 3.55% (NCREIF Farmland Index and Consumer Price Index - Urban). With growing global demand for agricultural commodities and limited land to expand capacity, some investors expect that farmland will continue to generate superior returns for the foreseeable future.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng, Xiaoguang & Hayes, Dermot J., 2016. "Vine-copula Based Models for Farmland Portfolio Management," ISU General Staff Papers 201601010800001019, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:201601010800001019
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