IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/isu/genstf/2000010108000013703.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Estimation and attenuation of reinsurance risk in the crop insurance market

Author

Listed:
  • Mason, Charles Edwin, IV

Abstract

Because of the high level of systemic risk in farming, crop insurance has failed to be provided by the market without government involvement. Currently, in addition to subsidy support the Federal government aids the crop insurance industry by providing reinsurance services to crop insurance companies. This means that the government will reimburse insurers for a large portion of their losses in years when indemnities to farmers are high. In exchange, portions of firms' profits are paid to the government when indemnities are below premiums;This study measures the level of risk accepted by the government in its role as reinsurer for the crop insurance market. This is accomplished by means of a Monte Carlo simulation in which random correlated draws are made for county and farm yields. These are then used to calculate indemnity levels for the crop year. Government share of the industry profit or loss can then be calculated based on the government's contract with the industry, the Standard Reinsurance Agreement. The simulation also permits the estimation of the expected net cost for the government. This value is the average net transfer from the government to the insurers and represents the fair market value of the Standard Reinsurance Agreement;In addition to this, the risk reducing potential for the reinsurer of commodity yield and price contracts is investigated. Offsetting positions are determined by linear regression of government net cost on yields and prices. It is shown that use of market contracts reduces measures of risk by more than fifty percent.

Suggested Citation

  • Mason, Charles Edwin, IV, 2000. "Estimation and attenuation of reinsurance risk in the crop insurance market," ISU General Staff Papers 2000010108000013703, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:2000010108000013703
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://dr.lib.iastate.edu/server/api/core/bitstreams/4fe75471-26b0-44d2-b602-6d49a4bcf5f3/content
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard E. Just & Quinn Weninger, 1999. "Are Crop Yields Normally Distributed?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(2), pages 287-304.
    2. Bruce A. Babcock & David A. Hennessy, 1996. "Input Demand under Yield and Revenue Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(2), pages 416-427.
    3. David A. Hennessy & Bruce A. Babcock & Dermot J. Hayes, 1997. "Budgetary and Producer Welfare Effects of Revenue Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(3), pages 1024-1034.
    4. Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes, 1994. "The Empirical Minimum-Variance Hedge," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(1), pages 94-104.
    5. Clifton B. Luttrell & R. Alton Gilbert, 1976. "Crop Yields: Random, Cyclical, or Bunchy?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 58(3), pages 521-531.
    6. Octavio A. Ramírez, 1997. "Estimation and Use of a Multivariate Parametric Model for Simulating Heteroskedastic, Correlated, Nonnormal Random Variables: The Case of Corn Belt Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Yields," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(1), pages 191-205.
    7. Ronald I. McKinnon, 1967. "Futures Markets, Buffer Stocks, and Income Stability for Primary Producers," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(6), pages 844-844.
    8. Harold G. Halcrow, 1949. "Actuarial Structures for Crop Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 418-443.
    9. Mario J. Miranda, 1991. "Area-Yield Crop Insurance Reconsidered," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(2), pages 233-242.
    10. Jeffrey R. Stokes & William I. Nayda & Burton C. English, 1997. "The Pricing of Revenue Assurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(2), pages 439-451.
    11. Olivier Mahul, 1999. "Optimum Area Yield Crop Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(1), pages 75-82.
    12. Jerry R. Skees & J. Roy Black & Barry J. Barnett, 1997. "Designing and Rating an Area Yield Crop Insurance Contract," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(2), pages 430-438.
    13. Carl H. Nelson & Paul V. Preckel, 1989. "The Conditional Beta Distribution as a Stochastic Production Function," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(2), pages 370-378.
    14. Robert G. Chambers, 1989. "Insurability and Moral Hazard in Agricultural Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(3), pages 604-616.
    15. Calum G. Turvey & Vincent Amanor-Boadu, 1989. "Evaluating Premiums for a Farm Income Insurance Policy," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 37(2), pages 233-247, July.
    16. Anderson, Gordon, 1996. "Nonparametric Tests of Stochastic Dominance in Income Distributions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1183-1193, September.
    17. Harvey Lapan & Giancarlo Moschini, 1994. "Futures Hedging Under Price, Basis, and Production Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(3), pages 465-477.
    18. Jerry R. Skees & Michael R. Reed, 1986. "Rate Making for Farm-Level Crop Insurance: Implications for Adverse Selection," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 68(3), pages 653-659.
    19. Calm G. Turvey, 1992. "An Economic Analysis of Alternative Farm Revenue Insurance Policies," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 40(3), pages 403-426, November.
    20. Olivier Mahul, 1999. "Optimum area yield crop insurance," Post-Print hal-01952090, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mahul, Olivier & Vermersch, Dominique, 1999. "Hedging Crop Risk With Yield Insurance Futures And Options," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21672, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Coble, Keith H. & Barnett, Barry J., 1999. "The Role Of Research In Producer Risk Management," Professional Papers 15803, Mississippi State University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    3. Heidelbach, Olaf, 2007. "Efficiency of selected risk management instruments: An empirical analysis of risk reduction in Kazakhstani crop production," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Transition Economies, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), volume 40, number 92323, September.
    4. María Bielza & Alberto Garrido & José M. Sumpsi, 2004. "Revenue insurance as an income stabilization policy: an application to the Spanish olive oil sector," Post-Print hal-01201063, HAL.
    5. Coble, Keith H. & Heifner, Richard G. & Zuniga, Manuel, 2000. "Implications Of Crop Yield And Revenue Insurance For Producer Hedging," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Mahul, Olivier, 2002. "Hedging Price Risk in the Presence of Crop Yield and Revenue Insurance," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24881, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Douadia Bougherara & Laurent Piet, 2018. "On the role of probability weighting on WTP for crop insurance with and without yield skewness," Working Papers hal-02790605, HAL.
    8. Mitchell, Paul D. & Knight, Thomas O., 2008. "Economic Analysis of Supplemental Deductible Coverage as Recommended in the USDA's 2007 Farm Bill Proposal," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(1), pages 117-131, April.
    9. Ramaswami, Bharat & Roe, Terry L., 2001. "Structural Models Of Area Yield Crop Insurance," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20638, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Bielza, María & Garrido, Alberto & Sumpsi, José M., 2004. "Revenue insurance as an income stabilization policy: an application to the Spanish olive oil sector," Cahiers d'Economie et de Sociologie Rurales (CESR), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 70.
    11. Chad E. Hart & Bruce A. Babcock & Dermot J. Hayes, 2001. "Livestock Revenue Insurance," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 553-580, June.
    12. Ghahremanzadeh, Mohammad & Mohammadrezaei, Rassul & Dashti, Ghader & Ainollahi, Moharram, 2018. "Designing a whole-farm revenue insurance for agricultural crops in Zanjan province of Iran," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(02), January.
    13. Makki Shiva S. & Somwaru Agapi L., 2007. "Assessing Adverse Selection in Crop Insurance Markets: An Application of Parametric and Nonparametric Methods," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-22, May.
    14. Bharat Ramaswami & Terry L. Roe, 2002. "Aggregation in area yield insurance:The linear additive model," Discussion Papers 02-08, Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi.
    15. Ramirez, Octavio & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2016. "Some Comparative Statics for Evaluating the Performance of the US Crop Insurance Program," SCC-76 Meeting, 2016, March 17-19, Pensacola, Florida 233761, SCC-76: Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural Resources.
    16. Shaik, Saleem & Atwood, Joseph A., 2002. "Optional Unit Policy In Crop Insurance," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19741, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. María Bielza & Alberto Garrido & José M. Sumpsi, 2004. "Revenue insurance as an income stabilization policy: an application to the Spanish olive oil sector," Cahiers d'Economie et Sociologie Rurales, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 70, pages 5-27.
    18. Shaik, Saleem & Atwood, Joseph A., 2000. "Estimating The Demand Of Crop Insurance And Supply Of Indemnity Payments: Nebraska Agriculture Sector," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21795, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    19. Mahul, Olivier, 2002. "Hedging Price Risk In The Presence Of Crop Yield And Revenue Insurance," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19070, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    20. Arora, Gaurav & Agarwal, Sandip K., 2020. "Agricultural input use and index insurance adoption: Concept and evidence," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304508, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:2000010108000013703. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Curtis Balmer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deiasus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.