IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/isu/genstf/1983010108000018061.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The variances of stochastic forecasts: calculating the reliability of predicted policy consequences

Author

Listed:
  • Morris, Suzanna Lynn

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Morris, Suzanna Lynn, 1983. "The variances of stochastic forecasts: calculating the reliability of predicted policy consequences," ISU General Staff Papers 1983010108000018061, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:1983010108000018061
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://dr.lib.iastate.edu/server/api/core/bitstreams/78a90685-582d-4a7f-8142-857319375bc7/content
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feldstein, Martin S, 1971. "The Error of Forecast in Econometric Models when the Forecast-Period Exogenous Variables are Stochastic," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 39(1), pages 55-60, January.
    2. Mo, William Y., 1968. "An Economic Analysis of the Dynamics of the United States Wheat Sector," Technical Bulletins 171767, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Robert G. Chambers & Richard E. Just, 1981. "Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on U.S. Agriculture: A Dynamic Analysis," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(1), pages 32-46.
    4. Cory, Dennis C. & Gum, Russell L. & Martin, William E. & Leigh, Marie, 1981. "Use of Paasche and Laspeyres Variations to Estimate Consumer Welfare Change," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 33(2), pages 1-6, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Joon, Cha Myung, 1984. "Variances and covariances of forecasts made with stochastic variables in 3SLS and their application to public policy," ISU General Staff Papers 1984010108000017523, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Moore, J. & Woo, C.K. & Horii, B. & Price, S. & Olson, A., 2010. "Estimating the option value of a non-firm electricity tariff," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1609-1614.
    3. Guci, Ledia, 2008. "Exchange Rates and The Export Demand for U.S. Grapefruit Juice," Research papers 36816, Florida Department of Citrus.
    4. Longjiang Chen, 2011. "The effect of China's RMB exchange rate movement on its agricultural export: A case study of export to Japan," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 26-41, January.
    5. Ashley, Richard, 2003. "Statistically significant forecasting improvements: how much out-of-sample data is likely necessary?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 229-239.
    6. Ruppel, Fred J., 1984. "Export Sales And Export Shipments: Institutional Relationships And Empirical Estimation," 1984 Annual Meeting, August 5-8, Ithaca, New York 279005, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Rausser, Gordon C. & Hamilton, Stephen F & Kovach, Marty & Stifter, Ryan, 2008. "Unintended Consequences: The Spillover Effects of Common Property Regulations," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt74p3h0f5, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    8. Rausser, Gordon & Hamilton, Stephen & Kovach, Marty & Stifter, Ryan, 2009. "Unintended consequences: The spillover effects of common property regulations," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 24-39, January.
    9. Chadee, Doren & Mori, Hiroshi, 1996. "Developments in the Japanese Beef Market Following Import Liberalisation," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(01), pages 1-12, April.
    10. repec:ags:aaea22:335707 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Tabakis, Nikolaos M., 2001. "A Multivariate Model for the Relationship Between Agricultural Prices and Inflation Uncertainty: Evidence Using Greek Data," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11, January.
    12. Torok, Steven John, 1982. "International trade in commodities and labor: the case of the importation of Mexican agricultural labor and fresh market winter tomatoes into the US, 1964-1979," ISU General Staff Papers 198201010800008550, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    13. Seale, James L., Jr. & Moss, Charles B., 1989. "The Overshooting Hypothesis: Are Agricultural Exports More Sensitive?," 1989 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 2, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 270464, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    14. Burakov, D., 2016. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rate and Prices for Agricultural Commodities: Empirical Evidence from Russia," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, June.
    15. Adelman, Irma & Robinson, Sherman, 1986. "The Application of General Equilibrium Models to Analyze U.S. Agriculture," CUDARE Working Papers 198352, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    16. Schaub, James & McArthur, W..C. & Hacklander, Duane & Glauber, Joseph & Leath, Mack & Doty, Harry, 1988. "The U.S. Soybean Industry," Agricultural Economic Reports 305423, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    17. Leserer, M., 1980. "Zur Methodik des Vorhersagens – Aus der Sicht des Ökonometrikers," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 17.
    18. Wang, Dabin & Tomek, William G., 2005. "Characterizing Distributions of Class III Milk Prices: Implications for Risk Management," Working Papers 127085, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    19. Dushmanitch, V. Y. & Darroch, M. A. G., 1991. "The Impacts Of Monetary Policy On The Maize And Beef Sectors Of South Africa I: Theoretical Foundations And Model Specification," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 30(3), September.
    20. Sharples, Jerry A. & Dixit, Praveen M., 1988. "Forces that Could Expand U.S. Wheat Exports: Estimates From a World Wheat Trade Model," Staff Reports 277990, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    21. Zhengwei MA & Rui XU & Xiucheng DONG, 2015. "World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: The evidence from China," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 61(12), pages 564-576.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:1983010108000018061. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Curtis Balmer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deiasus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.