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The Drivers Of Us Banks’ Demand Of Government Securities

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  • Carlos Alberto Piscarreta Pinto Ferreira

Abstract

We use individual bank balance sheet data to investigate those bank-specific characteristics that are relevant to explain US banks’ demand of two groups of government securities: Agencies and Treasuries. We conclude that some drivers but not all are common. Higher holdings are associated with poorer loan portfolio quality in both cases. Agencies also respond positively to lower margins, a contracting economic cycle, sub-par regional dynamics and less clearly higher business cycle risk. Treasuries alone are positively impacted by the erosion of the capital position. Variables such as the loan rate spread, past profitability, or income diversification fail to be significant. We find no direct impact of unconventional monetary policy in Agencies and the impact on Treasuries seems time-bounded and bank entity specific. Our finding suggest that it will be mainly up to other investors than banks to replace the Fed as it reduces its balance sheet.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Alberto Piscarreta Pinto Ferreira, 2024. "The Drivers Of Us Banks’ Demand Of Government Securities," Working Papers REM 2024/0336, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    • Handle: RePEc:ise:remwps:wp03362024
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign Debt; Portfolio Choice; Banks; Monetary Policy; Panel data.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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