IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc98160.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Drivers of the European Bioeconomy in Transition (BioEconomy2030): an exploratory, model-based assessment

Author

Listed:

Abstract

The bioeconomy comprises sectors that use renewable biological resources to produce food, materials and energy. It is at the centre of several global and EU challenges in the near future such as the creation of growth and jobs, climate change, food security and resource depletion. "Bioeconomy 2030" projects a reference scenario ('business as usual') and compares it with two distinct policy narratives ('Outward-looking' and 'Inward-looking') to understand the drivers of EU's bioeconomy up to 2030, assess its resilience to fulfil such diverse policy goals and identify potential trade-offs. As a motor of jobs and growth, the results indicate that the importance of the bio-based sectors is expected to dwindle somewhat. The factors underlying this result are mainly structural and related to comparably lower macroeconomic growth rates in the EU. It is, however, conceivable that improved economic development or productivity improvements linked to EU investments in, for instance bio-based innovation, would produce a recognisably more optimistic outlook for the EU bioeconomy.

Suggested Citation

  • George Philippidis & Robert M’barek & Emanuele Ferrari, 2016. "Drivers of the European Bioeconomy in Transition (BioEconomy2030): an exploratory, model-based assessment," JRC Research Reports JRC98160, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc98160
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC98160
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baldos, Uris Lantz & Thomas Hertel, 2014. "Bursting the Bubble: A Long Run Perspective on Crop Commodity Prices," GTAP Working Papers 4574, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    2. Malcolm, Gerard, 1998. "Adjusting Tax Rates In The Gtap Data Base," Technical Papers 28721, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Burniaux, Jean-March & Truong, Truong P., 2002. "Gtap-E: An Energy-Environmental Version Of The Gtap Model," Technical Papers 28705, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Adams, Philip D. & Parmenter, Brian R., 2013. "Computable General Equilibrium Modeling of Environmental Issues in Australia," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 553-657, Elsevier.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Robert M'barek & Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Pierre Boulanger & Arnaldo Caivano & Pavel Ciaian & Hasan Dudu & Maria Espinosa Goded & Thomas Fellmann & Emanuele Ferrari & Sergio Gomez Y Paloma & Celso Gorri, 2017. "Scenar 2030 - Pathways for the European agriculture and food sector beyond 2020," JRC Research Reports JRC108449, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Claudia Parisi & Tévécia Ronzon, 2016. "A global view of bio-based industries: benchmarking and monitoring their economic importance and future developments," JRC Research Reports JRC103038, Joint Research Centre.
    3. George B. Frisvold & Steven M. Moss & Andrea Hodgson & Mary E. Maxon, 2021. "Understanding the U.S. Bioeconomy: A New Definition and Landscape," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-24, February.
    4. Robert M’Barek & George Philippidis & Tevecia Ronzon, 2019. "Alternative global transition pathways to 2050: Prospects for the bioeconomy?," JRC Research Reports JRC118064, Joint Research Centre.
    5. Therese Bennich & Salim Belyazid, 2017. "The Route to Sustainability—Prospects and Challenges of the Bio-Based Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-18, May.
    6. Rolf Meyer, 2017. "Bioeconomy Strategies: Contexts, Visions, Guiding Implementation Principles and Resulting Debates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-32, June.
    7. Boulanger, Pierre H & Dudu, Hasan & Ferrari, Emanuele & M'barek, Robert & Philippidis, George, 2017. "2030 European agricultural policy: A new CAP at a crossroad between market competitiveness and sustainability," Conference papers 332882, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Boulanger, P. & Dudu, H. & Ferrari, E. & M'Barek, R. & Philippidis, G., 2018. "Impacts of a NoCAP Scenario on Sub-Saharan Africa," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277427, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:rza:wpaper:524 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Jessica A. Bohlmann & Heinrich R. Bohlmann & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2015. "An Economy-Wide Evaluation of New Power Generation in South Africa: The Case of Kusile and Medupi," Working Papers 201540, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Anton Orlov & Harald Grethe, 2012. "Carbon Taxation in Russia: Relevance of Export Taxes on Energy Resources," EcoMod2012 4117, EcoMod.
    4. Philippidis, George & Shutes, Lindsay & van Meijl, Hans & M'barek, Robert & Ronzon, Tevecia, 2018. "Can the evolution of the European bioeconomy contribute to the Sustainable Development Goals?," Conference papers 332944, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Rakotoarisoa, Manitra A., 2011. "A Contribution to the Analyses of the Effects of Foreign Agricultural Investment on the Food Sector and Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa," Conference papers 332037, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Mwaura, Francis, 2014. "Understanding dynamism of land ownership, use and patterns of allocation for the locals before inviting foreign investors: the Ugandan case," Conference papers 332543, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Philippidis, George & Bartelings, Heleen & Smeets, Edward, 2018. "Sailing into Unchartered Waters: Plotting a Course for EU Bio-Based Sectors," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 410-421.
    8. Ianchovichina, Elena, 2004. "Trade policy analysis in the presence of duty drawbacks," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 353-371, April.
    9. Hoefnagels, Ric & Banse, Martin & Dornburg, Veronika & Faaij, André, 2013. "Macro-economic impact of large-scale deployment of biomass resources for energy and materials on a national level—A combined approach for the Netherlands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 727-744.
    10. Monge, Juan J. & Bryant, Henry L. & Gan, Jianbang & Richardson, James W., 2016. "Land use and general equilibrium implications of a forest-based carbon sequestration policy in the United States," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 102-120.
    11. Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Roson, Roberto, 2010. "Climate-change feedback on economic growth: explorations with a dynamic general equilibrium model," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(5), pages 515-533, October.
    12. Laborde, David & Martin, Will & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2008. "Implications of the 2008 Doha Draft Agricultural and NAMA Market Access Modalities for Developing Countries," Conference papers 331719, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    13. Tsung-Chen Lee & Hsiao-Chi Chen & Shi-Miin Liu, 2013. "Optimal strategic regulations in international emissions trading under imperfect competition," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 15(1), pages 39-57, January.
    14. Glyn Wittwer & Mark Horridge, 2018. "SinoTERM365, Bottom-up Representation of China at the Prefectural Level," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-285, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    15. Roberto Roson & Francesco Bosello, 2007. "Estimating a Climate Change Damage Function through General Equilibrium Modeling," Working Papers 2007_08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    16. Balie, Jean & Strutt, Anna & Nelgen, Signe & Narayanan, 2018. "Infrastructure investments for improved market access in subSaharan Africa: A CGE analysis," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 13(2), June.
    17. Yazid Dissou & Lilia Karnizova & Qian Sun, 2015. "Industry-level Econometric Estimates of Energy-Capital-Labor Substitution with a Nested CES Production Function," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 107-121, March.
    18. Ernesto Valenzuela & Kym Anderson & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2009. "Welfare and Poverty Effects of Global Agricultural and Trade Policies Using the Linkage Model," World Bank Publications - Reports 28155, The World Bank Group.
    19. Nelson, Tim & Pascoe, Owen & Calais, Prabpreet & Mitchell, Lily & McNeill, Judith, 2019. "Efficient integration of climate and energy policy in Australia’s National Electricity Market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 178-193.
    20. Wittwer, Glyn, 2022. "Preparing a multi-country, sub-national CGE model: EuroTERM including Ukraine," Conference papers 333470, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    21. Nielsen, Chantal Pohl & Yu, Wusheng, 2002. "Integration of the International Rice Market: Implications for Trade Liberalization," Conference papers 330992, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    bioeconomy; modelling; agriculture; CGE; CAP; biofuel; trade; GHG;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc98160. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Publication Officer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ipjrces.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.