IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc113242.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Allocations budgétaires optimales et options de réformes pour le secteur agricole dans le Plan Sénégal Emergent 2019-2023

Author

Listed:

Abstract

This report provides scientific evidences supporting policy options for the agricultural sector in the second phase of the Emerging Senegal Plan (ESP) and corresponding Priority Action Plan (PAP) over the period 2019-2023. Five budget allocation scenarios are proposed in view of their respective impact on several performance targets put forward by the ESP. They cover increased expenditures towards (i) agricultural research and extension, (ii) input subsidies, (iii) irrigation infrastructure, (iv) rural transport infrastructure, and (v) rural education and rural health. They are simulated with a recursive dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model specifically modified for the context of Senegal. This model is calibrated to a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) with a disaggregated agricultural sector and public expenditure data collected by the programme Monitoring and Analysing Food and Agricultural Policies (MAFAP). Résumé: Ce rapport fournit des arguments scientifiques à l'appui d'options politiques en faveur du secteur agricole pour la deuxième phase du Plan Sénégal Emergent (PSE) et de son Plan d'Actions Prioritaires (PAP) en 2019-2023. Cinq scénarios d'allocation budgétaire sont proposés au vu de leur impact respectif sur plusieurs cibles de performance visées par le PSE. Ils couvrent l'augmentation des dépenses vers (i) la recherche agricole et la dissémination des connaissances, (ii) les subventions aux intrants, (iii) les infrastructures d'irrigation, (iv) les infrastructures de transport en zones rurales et (v) l'éducation rurale et la santé rurale. Ils sont simulés avec un Modèle d'Equilibre Général Calculable (MEGC) dynamique récursif à l'échelle de l'économie du Sénégal. Ce modèle est calibré à partir d'une Matrice de Comptabilité Sociale (MCS) au secteur agricole désagrégé et de données de dépenses publiques collectées par le programme Suivi et Analyse des Politiques Agricoles et Alimentaires (SAPAA).

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape & Federica Angelucci & Renata Baborska & Thibault Meilland, 2018. "Allocations budgétaires optimales et options de réformes pour le secteur agricole dans le Plan Sénégal Emergent 2019-2023," JRC Research Reports JRC113242, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc113242
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC113242
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Angel Aguiar & Badri Narayanan & Robert McDougall, 2016. "An Overview of the GTAP 9 Data Base," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1), pages 181-208, June.
    2. Claudia N. Berg & Brian Blankespoor & Harris Selod, 2018. "Roads and Rural Development in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(5), pages 856-874, May.
    3. Jayne, Thomas S. & Mason, Nicole M. & Burke, William J. & Ariga, Joshua, 2018. "Review: Taking stock of Africa’s second-generation agricultural input subsidy programs," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-14.
    4. Abdoulaye Seck, 2017. "Fertiliser subsidy and agricultural productivity in Senegal," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(9), pages 1989-2006, September.
    5. Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo J. Mainar Causape, 2017. "Matrice de comptabilité sociale désagrégée de l'économie sénégalaise en 2014," JRC Research Reports JRC108772, Joint Research Centre.
    6. Wesley, Annie & Faminow, Merle, 2014. "Background Paper: Research and Development and Extension Services in Agriculture and Food Security," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 425, Asian Development Bank.
    7. Emerta Aragie & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar & Scott McDonald & Karen Thierfelder, 2017. "STAGE_DEV. A variant of the STAGE model to analyse developing countries," JRC Research Reports JRC104686, Joint Research Centre.
    8. Alfredo J. Mainar Causape & Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Scott McDonald & Arnaldo Caivano, 2018. "Social Accounting Matrix of Kenya 2014," JRC Research Reports JRC110385, Joint Research Centre.
    9. Felix Kwame Yeboah & Thomas S. Jayne, 2018. "Africa’s Evolving Employment Trends," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(5), pages 803-832, May.
    10. Hannah Schürenberg-Frosch, 2014. "Improving Africa's Roads: Modelling Infrastructure Investment and Its Effect on Sectoral Production Behaviour," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 32(3), pages 327-353, May.
    11. Yeboah, F. Kwame & Jayne, T.S., 2016. "Africa’s Evolving Employment Structure," Food Security International Development Working Papers 246956, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    12. Karl Pauw & James Thurlow, 2015. "Prioritizing Rural Investments in Africa: A Hybrid Evaluation Approach Applied to Uganda," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 27(3), pages 407-424, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Boulanger & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape & Martina Sartori & Mohammed Beshir & Kidanemariam Hailu & Solomon Tsehay, 2019. "Policy Options to support the Rural Job Opportunity Creation Strategy in Ethiopia," JRC Research Reports JRC117916, Joint Research Centre.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape & Jean Balie & Lucia Battaglia, 2018. "Policy options to support the Agriculture Sector Growth and Transformation Strategy in Kenya: A CGE analysis," JRC Research Reports JRC111251, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Sylvester Amoako Agyemang & Tomáš Ratinger & Miroslava Bavorová, 2022. "The Impact of Agricultural Input Subsidy on Productivity: The Case of Ghana," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(3), pages 1460-1485, June.
    3. Giller, Ken E. & Andersson, Jens & Delaune, Thomas & Silva, João Vasco & Descheemaeker, Katrien & van de Ven, Gerrie & Schut, Antonius G.T. & van Wijk, Mark & Hammond, Jim & Hochman, Zvi & Taulya, God, 2022. "IFAD Research Series 83: The future of farming: who will produce our food?," IFAD Research Series 322005, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    4. Mukashov, A., 2023. "Parameter uncertainty in policy planning models: Using portfolio management methods to choose optimal policies under world market volatility," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 187-202.
    5. Maria Priscila Ramos & Estefania Custodio & Sofia Jimenez & Alfredo Mainar Causape & Pierre Boulanger & Emanuele Ferrari, 2020. "Assessing market incentive policies in Kenya with a food security and nutrition perspective: a macro-microsimulation approach," JRC Research Reports JRC119390, Joint Research Centre.
    6. Alfredo J. Mainar Causape & Emanuele Ferrari & Scott McDonald, 2018. "Social accounting matrices: basic aspects and main steps for estimation," JRC Research Reports JRC112075, Joint Research Centre.
    7. Kafle, Kashi & Paliwal, Neha & Benfica, Rui, 2021. "Do Youth Work in Agriculture? Short-Term Dynamics of on-Farm Youth Employment in Tanzania and Malawi," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315043, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Andreas Backhaus & Elke Loichinger, 2022. "Female Labor Force Participation in Sub‐Saharan Africa: A Cohort Analysis," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 48(2), pages 379-411, June.
    9. Ghebru, Hosaena & Amare, Mulubrhan & Mavrotas, George & Ogunniyi, Adebayo, 2018. "Role of land access in youth migration and youth employment decisions: Empirical evidence from rural Nigeria," NSSP working papers 58, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    10. Ricome, Aymeric & Barreiro-Hurle, Jesus & Sadibou Fall, Cheickh, 2024. "Government fertilizer subsidies, input use, and income: The case of Senegal," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    11. Aragie, Emerta Asaminew & McDonald, Scott & Ferrari, Emanuele & Dudu, Hasan, 2016. "Investment in agricultural productivity vs rural commercialization: which way to rapid poverty reduction in Ethiopia?," Conference papers 332743, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Mainar Causape Alfredo & Ilaria Proietti, 2017. "Boosting the Fertilizer Production in Kenya: a CGE analysis," JRC Research Reports JRC104685, Joint Research Centre.
    13. Binfield, Julian & Boulanger, Pierre & Davids, Tracy & Dudu, Hasan & Ferrari, Emanuele & Mainar-Causape, Alfredo & Meyer, Ferdi, 2019. "Enhancing CGE analysis with PE modelling of Kenyan agricultural and trade policy reforms," 2019 Sixth International Conference, September 23-26, 2019, Abuja, Nigeria 295839, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    14. Victor Nechifor & Emanuele Ferrari & Evelyne Kihiu & Joshua Laichena & Daniel Omanyo & Rogers Musamali & Benson Kiriga, 2020. "COVID-19 impacts and short-term economic recovery in Kenya," JRC Research Reports JRC121284, Joint Research Centre.
    15. Chamberlin, Jordan & Jayne, T.S., 2020. "Does farm structure affect rural household incomes? Evidence from Tanzania," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    16. James Sumberg & Louise Fox & Justin Flynn & Philip Mader & Marjoke Oosterom, 2021. "Africa’s “youth employment” crisis is actually a “missing jobs” crisis," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 39(4), pages 621-643, July.
    17. Roy Huijsmans & Aprilia Ambarwati & Charina Chazali & M. Vijayabaskar, 2021. "Farming, Gender and Aspirations Across Young People’s Life Course: Attempting to Keep Things Open While Becoming a Farmer," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(1), pages 71-88, February.
    18. Mastewal Yami & Shiferaw Feleke & Tahirou Abdoulaye & Arega D. Alene & Zoumana Bamba & Victor Manyong, 2019. "African Rural Youth Engagement in Agribusiness: Achievements, Limitations, and Lessons," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, January.
    19. Esther Laske & Sandrine Michel, 2022. "What contribution of agroecology to job creation in sub-Saharan Africa? The case of horticulture in the Niayes, Senegal," Post-Print hal-03766499, HAL.
    20. Ravi Nandi & Swamikannu Nedumaran, 2021. "Understanding the Aspirations of Farming Communities in Developing Countries: A Systematic Review of the Literature," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(4), pages 809-832, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc113242. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Publication Officer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ipjrces.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.