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A Medium-Scale DSGE Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

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  • Mr. Tobias Adrian
  • Vitor Gaspar
  • Mr. Francis Vitek

Abstract

This paper jointly analyzes the optimal conduct of monetary policy, foreign exchange intervention, fiscal policy, macroprudential policy, and capital flow management. This policy analysis is based on an estimated medium-scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the world economy, featuring a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages with endogenous risk, and diverse spillover transmission channels. In the pursuit of inflation and output stabilization objectives, it is optimal to adjust all policies in response to domestic and global financial cycle upturns and downturns when feasible—including foreign exchange intervention and capital flow management under some conditions—to widely varying degrees depending on the structural characteristics of the economy. The framework is applied empirically to four small open advanced and emerging market economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Tobias Adrian & Vitor Gaspar & Mr. Francis Vitek, 2022. "A Medium-Scale DSGE Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," IMF Working Papers 2022/015, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2022/015
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tobias Adrian & Vitor Gaspar & Francis Vitek, 2024. "A Medium-Scale DSGE Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(4), pages 1-123, October.
    2. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
    3. Mr. Suman S Basu & Ms. Emine Boz & Ms. Gita Gopinath & Mr. Francisco Roch & Ms. Filiz D Unsal, 2020. "A Conceptual Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," IMF Working Papers 2020/121, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina, 2020. "Shocks Matter: Managing Capital Flows with Multiple Instruments in Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 2020/097, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Frank Smets & Raf Wouters, 2003. "An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1123-1175, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Schoder & Remzi Baris Tercioglu, 2024. "A climate-fiscal policy mix to achieve Türkiye’s net-zero ambition under feasibility constraints," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 21(2), pages 331-359, April.
    2. Gan-Ochir Doojav & Munkhbayar Gantumur, 2023. "An estimated model of a commodity-exporting economy for the integrated policy framework: evidence from Mongolia," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 651-708, October.
    3. Leonid Serkov & Sergey Krasnykh, 2023. "The Specific Behavior of Economic Agents with Heterogeneous Expectations in the New Keynesian Model with Rigid Prices and Wages," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Tobias Adrian & Vitor Gaspar & Francis Vitek, 2024. "A Medium-Scale DSGE Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(4), pages 1-123, October.
    5. Yasin Mimir & Lorenzo Ricci, 2024. "Financial imbalances and macroeconomic tail risks: A structural regime-switching investigation," Working Papers 64, European Stability Mechanism, revised 15 Nov 2024.

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