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The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Xiangming Fang
  • Siddharth Kothari
  • Mr. Cameron McLoughlin
  • Mustafa Yenice

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa has been marred by conflicts during the past several decades. While the intensity of conflicts in recent years is lower than that observed in the 1990s, the region remains prone to conflicts, with around 30 percent of the countries affected in 2019. In addition to immeasurable human suffering, conflicts impose large economic costs. On average, annual growth in countries in intense conflicts is about 2.5 percentage points lower, and the cumulative impact on per capita GDP increases over time. Furthermore, conflicts pose significant strains on countries’ public finances, lowering revenue, raising military spending, and shifting resources away from development and social spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiangming Fang & Siddharth Kothari & Mr. Cameron McLoughlin & Mustafa Yenice, 2020. "The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 2020/221, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/221
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Maxime Menuet, 2024. "Natural Resources, Civil Conflicts, and Economic Growth," GREDEG Working Papers 2024-05, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    2. Etienne Inedit Blaise Tsomb Tsomb & Mermoz Homer III Nsoga Nsoga & Cyrille Dominick Bitting, 2024. "Climate change vulnerability and conflicts in Africa: evidence from the migrations channel," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18811-18854, July.
    3. Le, Thai-Ha & Bui, Manh-Tien & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "Economic and social impacts of conflict: A cross-country analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    4. Okwoche Princewill U. & Iheonu Chimere O., 2021. "Determinants of fiscal effort in sub-Saharan African countries: Does conflict matter?," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 50-73, June.
    5. Büttner, Nicolas & Grimm, Michael & Soubeiga, Sidiki, 2022. "Political instability and households’ investment behavior: Evidence from Burkina Faso," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 350-368.

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