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Public Investment in Bolivia: Prospects and Implications

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  • Mr. Yehenew Endegnanew
  • Dawit Tessema

Abstract

Bolivia’s “Patriotic Agenda 2025” sets targets for social and economic development propelled by state-led industrialization under a five-year development plan (2016–2020). Large-scale public investment has aimed to fill infrastructure gaps and raise productivity to ensure sustained medium-term growth. Pursuit of these goals in a period of lower hydrocarbon revenues has, however, contributed to widening fiscal and external current account deficits. The paper uses a structural model to outline different scenarios for the level of public investment in the face of declining hydrocarbon revenues. It finds that if public investment is sustained at current levels as a share of GDP while hydrocarbon revenues continue to decline, the sustainability of the public debt could be called into question.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Yehenew Endegnanew & Dawit Tessema, 2019. "Public Investment in Bolivia: Prospects and Implications," IMF Working Papers 2019/151, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/151
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. International Monetary Fund, 2017. "Bolivia: 2017 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Authorities of Bolivia," IMF Staff Country Reports 2017/395, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alarcon Gambarte, Samuel, 2020. "Multiplicador de inversión pública durante el auge y declive de precios internacionales," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 33, pages 79-104, May.
    2. Osmar Bolivar, 2022. "Multiplicadores Fiscales: Evidencia Empírica para una Asignación Costo-Efectiva de la Inversión Pública," Cuadernos de Investigación Económica Boliviana, Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas Públicas de Bolivia, vol. 5(2), pages 7-64, Diciembre.

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