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Macro-Fiscal Gains from Anti-Corruption Reforms in the Republic of Congo

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  • Mr. Giovanni Melina
  • Hoda Selim
  • Ms. Concha Verdugo Yepes

Abstract

This paper argues that oil revenue management and public investment in Congo are vulnerable to corruption as a result of limited transparency and accountability. Corruption has potentially contributed to poor macro-fiscal outcomes. The paper acknowledges the authorities’ anti-corruption efforts made so far and proposes further critical reforms to reduce remaining vulnerabilities. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model results show that, depending on the reforms adopted, the potential additional growth can range between 0.8 to 1.8 percent per year over the next 10 years, and debt can decline by 2.25 to 3 percent of GDP per year over the same period. These results suggest that macrofiscal gains from anti-corruption reforms could be substantial even under conservative reform scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Giovanni Melina & Hoda Selim & Ms. Concha Verdugo Yepes, 2019. "Macro-Fiscal Gains from Anti-Corruption Reforms in the Republic of Congo," IMF Working Papers 2019/121, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/121
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Rabah Arezki & Thorvaldur Gylfason, 2013. "Resource Rents, Democracy, Corruption and Conflict: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 22(4), pages 552-569, August.
    7. Mr. Vito Tanzi, 1998. "Corruption Around the World: Causes, Consequences, Scope, and Cures," IMF Working Papers 1998/063, International Monetary Fund.
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    9. repec:oup:jafrec:v:22:y:2013:i:4:p:-569 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Yilanci, Veli & Aslan, Murat & Ozgur, Onder, 2021. "Disaggregated analysis of the curse of natural resources in most natural resource-abundant countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

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