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The Effective Lower Bound for the Policy Rate in Euroized Economies—An Application to the Case of Albania

Author

Listed:
  • Guido della Valle
  • Erald Themeli
  • Mr. Romain M Veyrune
  • Ezequiel Cabezon
  • Shaoyu Guo

Abstract

Based on the experience of the Bank of Albania, the paper proposes a framework to estimate the interest rate lower bound in small, open, and euroized economies. The paper introduces a stylized monitoring tool to assess the unintended consequences of low policy rates. The paper is the first attempt to estimate the impact of low interest rate on the public’s demand for banknote by denomination. A strong preference for banknotes leads economic agents to require a higher remuneration of banks’ deposits, lifting the lower bound above zero. Financial euroization also lifts the lower policy bound due to the higher propensity of substituting domestic with foreign currency–denominated assets as a function of the interest rate differential. Policies aiming at reducing financial euroization contribute to bring down the lower bound.

Suggested Citation

  • Guido della Valle & Erald Themeli & Mr. Romain M Veyrune & Ezequiel Cabezon & Shaoyu Guo, 2018. "The Effective Lower Bound for the Policy Rate in Euroized Economies—An Application to the Case of Albania," IMF Working Papers 2018/055, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2018/055
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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