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Quarterly Projection Model for India: Key Elements and Properties

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Jaromir Benes
  • Kevin Clinton
  • Asish George
  • Pranav Gupta
  • Joice John
  • Mr. Ondrej Kamenik
  • Mr. Douglas Laxton
  • Pratik Mitra
  • G.V. Nadhanael
  • Mr. Rafael A Portillo
  • Hou Wang
  • Fan Zhang

Abstract

This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward-looking open-economy gap model, calibrated to represent the Indian case, for generating forecasts and risk assessment as well as conducting policy analysis. QPM incorporates several India-specific features like the importance of the agricultural sector and food prices in the inflation process; features of monetary policy transmission and implications of an endogenous credibility process for monetary policy formulation. The paper also describes key properties and historical decompositions of some important macroeconomic variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jaromir Benes & Kevin Clinton & Asish George & Pranav Gupta & Joice John & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Pratik Mitra & G.V. Nadhanael & Mr. Rafael A Portillo & Hou Wang & Fan Zhang, 2017. "Quarterly Projection Model for India: Key Elements and Properties," IMF Working Papers 2017/033, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/033
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Oleg Kryzhanovsky & Alexander Zykov, 2022. "DEMUR: A Regional Semi-Structural Model of the Ural Macroregion," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(4), pages 52-85, December.
    2. Sitikantha Pattanaik & Silu Muduli & Soumyajit Ray, 2020. "Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 244-263, September.
    3. Shalva Mkhatrishvili & Douglas Laxton & Davit Tutberidze & Tamta Sopromadze & Saba Metreveli & Lasha Arevadze & Tamar Mdivnishvili & Giorgi Tsutskiridze, 2019. "Solving non-linear dynamic models (more) efficiently: application to a simple monetary policy model," NBG Working Papers 012019, National Bank of Georgia.
    4. Chetan Ghate & Pawan Gopalakrishnan & Anuradha Saha, 2023. "The Great Indian Savings Puzzle," IEG Working Papers 459, Institute of Economic Growth.
    5. Shalva Mkhatrishvili & Douglas Laxton & Davit Tutberidze & Tamta Sopromadze & Saba Metreveli & Lasha Arevadze & Tamar Mdivnishvili & Giorgi Tsutskiridze, 2019. "Solving non-linear dynamic models (more) efficiently: application to a simple monetary policy model," NBG Working Papers 01/2019, National Bank of Georgia.
    6. Romero, José Vicente & Naranjo-Saldarriaga, Sara, 2024. "Weather shocks and inflation expectations in semi-structural models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(2).
    7. Pongpitch Amatyakul & Tosapol Apaitan & Savaphol Hiruntiaranakul & Nuwat Nookhwun, 2021. "Revisiting Thailand's Monetary Policy Model for an Integrated Policy Analysis," PIER Discussion Papers 164, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Anton Grui & Artem Vdovychenko, 2019. "Quarterly Projection Model for Ukraine," Working Papers 03/2019, National Bank of Ukraine.
    9. Anton Grui, 2020. "Uncovered interest parity with foreign exchange interventions under exchange rate peg and inflation targeting: The case of Ukraine," IHEID Working Papers 14-2020, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    10. Mariam Tchanturia & Jared Laxton & Douglas Laxton & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2024. "Covid-19 and the Return of the 3-Star Consumption Functions in the US," NBG Working Papers 03/2024, National Bank of Georgia.
    11. Thitipat Chansriniyom & Mr. Natan P. Epstein & Valeriu Nalban, 2020. "The Monetary Policy Credibility Channel and the Amplification Effects in a Semi-structural Model," IMF Working Papers 2020/201, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Simona Malovana, 2019. "Introducing Macro-Financial Variables into a Semi-Structural Model," Working Papers 2019/6, Czech National Bank.

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