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Non-Performing Loans in the ECCU: Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact

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  • Ms. Kimberly Beaton
  • Ms. Alla Myrvoda
  • Shernnel Thompson

Abstract

This paper assesses the determinants of NPLs in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) and whether a deterioration in asset quality may result in negative feedback effects from the banking system to economic activity. The results suggest that the deterioration in asset quality can be attributed to both macroeconomic and bank-specific factors. Banks with stronger profitability and lower exposure to the construction sector and household loans tend to have lower NPLs. Further, some evidence indicates that foreign owned banks systematically have lower NPLs than domestic banks, pointing to the presence of important differences across bank practices with an impact on asset quality. Finally, the results emphasize the strength of macrofinancial feedback loops in the ECCU.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Kimberly Beaton & Ms. Alla Myrvoda & Shernnel Thompson, 2016. "Non-Performing Loans in the ECCU: Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact," IMF Working Papers 2016/229, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/229
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    2. Noel, Dorian M. & Bangwayo-Skeete, Prosper F. & Brei, Michael & Robinson, Justin, 2021. "Sovereign risk spill-overs in the banking sectors of Central America and the Caribbean," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Gulati, Rachita & Goswami, Anju & Kumar, Sunil, 2019. "What drives credit risk in the Indian banking industry? An empirical investigation," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 42-62.
    4. Shikha Goyal & Nikita Singhal & Nandita Mishra & Subhash Kumar Verma, 2023. "The impact of macroeconomic and institutional environment on NPL of developing and developed countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Mr. Balazs Csonto & Mr. Alejandro D Guerson & Ms. Alla Myrvoda & Emefa Sewordor, 2018. "Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU," IMF Working Papers 2018/162, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Laxmi Koju & Ram Koju & Shouyang Wang, 2018. "Does Banking Management Affect Credit Risk? Evidence from the Indian Banking System," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-11, July.
    7. McLean, Sheldon & Metzgen, Ydahlia & Singh, Ranjit & Skerrette, Nyasha, 2018. "Economic impact of de-risking on the Caribbean: Case studies of Antigua and Barbuda, Belize and Saint Kitts and Nevis," Studies and Perspectives – ECLAC Subregional Headquarters for The Caribbean 43310, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    8. Mohammad Motasem ALrfai & Danilah Binti Salleh & Waeibrorheem Waemustafa, 2022. "Empirical Examination of Credit Risk Determinant of Commercial Banks in Jordan," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-11, April.

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