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China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Serkan Arslanalp
  • Wei Liao
  • Shi Piao
  • Dulani Seneviratne

Abstract

This paper finds that financial spillovers from China to regional markets are on the rise. The main transmission channel appears to be trade linkages, although direct financial linkages are playing an increasing role. Without an impact on global risk premiums, China’s influence on regional markets is not yet to the level of the United States, but comparable to that of Japan. If China-related shocks are coupled with a rise in global risk premiums, as in August 2015 and January 2016, spillovers to the region could be significantly larger. Over the medium term, China’s financial spillovers could rise further with tighter financial linkages with the region, including through the ongoing internationalization of the renminbi and China’s capital account liberalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Wei Liao & Shi Piao & Dulani Seneviratne, 2016. "China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets," IMF Working Papers 2016/173, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/173
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Corneli, Flavia & Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2023. "Macroeconomic news, the financial cycle and the commodity cycle: The Chinese footprint," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    3. Lodge, David & Manu, Ana-Simona & Van Robays, Ine, 2023. "China’s footprint in global financial markets," Working Paper Series 2861, European Central Bank.
    4. Yoon, Seong-Min & Al Mamun, Md & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Network connectedness and net spillover between financial and commodity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 801-818.
    5. You, Kefei & Raju Chinthalapati, V.L. & Mishra, Tapas & Patra, Ramakanta, 2024. "International trade network and stock market connectedness: Evidence from eleven major economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Sardar, Rashedur & Schaffer, Matthew, 2022. "International Monetary Spillovers to Frontier Financial Markets: Evidence from Bangladesh," UNCG Economics Working Papers 22-5, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, Department of Economics.
    7. Junshu Jiang & Jordan Richards & Raphael Huser & David Bolin, 2024. "The Efficient Tail Hypothesis: An Extreme Value Perspective on Market Efficiency," Papers 2408.06661, arXiv.org.
    8. Ferriani, Fabrizio, 2021. "From taper tantrum to Covid-19: Portfolio flows to emerging markets in periods of stress," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. E. Netunaev B. & Е. Нетунаев Б., 2017. "Феномен Заразных Финансовых Пузырей // The Phenomenon Of Contagious Financial Bubbles," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 21(6), pages 154-165.
    10. Cao, Li & Jiang, Junhua & Piljak, Vanja, 2023. "Did mega-regional trade agreements reshuffle the financial influence of the US, China, and Japan in ASEAN? Evidence from the volatility-spillover effects," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    11. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & You, Kefei & Chen, Lei, 2019. "Global and regional stock market integration in Asia: A panel convergence approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    12. Hwee K. Chow, 2021. "Connectedness of Asia Pacific forex markets: China's growing influence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3807-3818, July.
    13. Devendra Kumar Jain & Naqeeb Ur-Rehman & Omonjon Ganiev & Kapil Arora, 2023. "Currencies of greater interest for central Asian economies: an analysis of exchange market pressure amid global and regional interdependence," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.

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