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A Financial Conditions Index for Greece

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  • Mr. Jonathan F Manning
  • Maral Shamloo

Abstract

We construct a Financial Conditions Index (FCI) for Greece as a surveillance tool to quantify the degree of the stress in the financial sector. We use principal component analysis to capture the information content of several financial indicators through a single index. We also construct an alternative FCI by purging the business cycle and monetary policy effects on the input variables, and argue that this alternative index is a better indicator of exogenous financial shocks, and thus could be interpreted as a measure of the efficacy of transmission mechanism. We replicate the index for the euro area (EA) as a whole and show that although the developments in the EA were qualitatively in line with those in Greece, they were quantitatively much milder. Our results confirm that monetary transmission was less effective in Greece compared to the EA as a whole. Finally, we argue that our index can be a potentially useful forecasting tool for credit growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jonathan F Manning & Maral Shamloo, 2015. "A Financial Conditions Index for Greece," IMF Working Papers 2015/220, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/220
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Borg Ian & Micallef Brian, 2018. "Constructing a Financial Condition Index for a Small-Open Economy: The Case of Malta," Research in Applied Economics, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(3), pages 89-105, September.

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