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Price and Income Elasticity of Indian Exports—The Role of Supply-Side Bottlenecks

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  • Mr. Mehdi Raissi
  • Mr. Volodymyr Tulin

Abstract

This paper estimates the short-term and long-run price and income elasticity of Indian exports, and investigates the role of supply-side bottlenecks in shaping India’s export demand relationship. We use disaggregated export volume data for 45 Indian industries over the period 1990-2013, as well as industry-specific international relative prices, for estimation. Our results indicate that Indian exports are sensitive to international relative-price competitiveness, world demand, and energy shortages. In addition, binding supply-side constraints (notably energy shortages) dampen price responsiveness in the short-term.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Mehdi Raissi & Mr. Volodymyr Tulin, 2015. "Price and Income Elasticity of Indian Exports—The Role of Supply-Side Bottlenecks," IMF Working Papers 2015/161, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/161
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexander Chudik & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi, 2016. "Long-Run Effects in Large Heterogeneous Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectionally Correlated Errors," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of man Ullah, volume 36, pages 85-135, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    2. Kapur, Muneesh & Mohan, Rakesh, 2014. "India’s Recent Macroeconomic Performance: An Assessment and the Way Forward," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 10(1), pages 205-295.
    3. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Smith, Ron, 1995. "Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 79-113, July.
    4. Alexander Chudik & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi, 2013. "Debt, inflation and growth robust estimation of long-run effects in dynamic panel data models," Globalization Institute Working Papers 162, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    5. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(4), pages 967-1012, July.
    6. Rahul Anand & Ms. Kalpana Kochhar & Mr. Saurabh Mishra, 2015. "Make in India: Which Exports Can Drive the Next Wave of Growth?," IMF Working Papers 2015/119, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2016. "Singapore’s Export Elasticities: A Disaggregated Look into the Role of Global Value Chains and Economic Complexity," IMF Working Papers 2016/052, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Schier, Franziska & Morland, Christian & Dieter, Matthias & Weimar, Holger, 2021. "Estimating supply and demand elasticities of dissolving pulp, lignocellulose-based chemical derivatives and textile fibres in an emerging forest-based bioeconomy," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Pami Dua & Ritu Suri, 2023. "India’s Bilateral Export Growth and Exchange Rate Volatility: A Panel GMM Approach," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 123-148, Springer.
    4. Jorge A. Fornero & Miguel A. Fuentes & Andrés Gatty, 2017. "How do manufacturing exports react to RER and foreign demand? The Chilean case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 810, Central Bank of Chile.

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