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Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking: Estimating Policy Spillovers From U.S. to Foreign Asset Prices

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  • Mr. Tamim Bayoumi
  • Mr. Trung T Bui

Abstract

Event studies are used to analyze the impact of U.S. financial, fiscal, and monetary policies from US to foreign asset prices across a range of G20 countries and Switzerland. The initial announcement that the Administration supported tighter regulation of banks led to a generalized fall in advanced economy bank shares compared to local equity markets. For later Dodd-Frank announcements, however, falls in U.S. bank equity prices were accompanied by increases in U.K. and Swiss valuations, implying a potential for regulatory arbitrage. Turning to macro policies, the 2008/9 fiscal and monetary stimulus packages generally supported foreign activity, while the impact of similar stimulus in 2010 is less clear.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Mr. Trung T Bui, 2011. "Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking: Estimating Policy Spillovers From U.S. to Foreign Asset Prices," IMF Working Papers 2011/183, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/183
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio Bianchi & Massimiliano Frezza, 2018. "Liquidity, Efficiency and the 2007-2008 Global Financial Crisis," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 375-404, November.
    2. Taeyoon Sung & Jong-Hee Kim, 2016. "Unconventional Monetary Policy, Global Liquidity Circulation, and Inflation Divergence around the World," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(1), pages 6-26, March.
    3. Tamim Bayoumi & Trung Bui, 2011. "Apocalypse Then: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Hugo Gerard & Jonathan Kearns (ed.),The Australian Economy in the 2000s, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    4. Mr. Shaun K. Roache & Mrs. Marina V Rousset, 2013. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Asset Price Risk," IMF Working Papers 2013/190, International Monetary Fund.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Indonesia: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2011/310, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Dong He & Robert N McCauley, 2013. "Transmitting Global Liquidity to East Asia: Policy Rates, Bond Yields, Currencies and Dollar Credit," Working Papers 152013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    7. Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Mr. Francis Vitek, 2013. "Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents," IMF Working Papers 2013/004, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Jong-Hee Kim, 2017. "Monetary policy spillovers and currency crisis in comparative perspective: East Asia before the 1997 crisis and Eastern Europe after tapering," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(12), pages 2752-2770, December.

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