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The impact of monetary policy on financial markets in small open economies: More or less effective during the global financial crisis?

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  • Pennings, Steven
  • Ramayandi, Arief
  • Tang, Hsiao Chink

Abstract

This paper estimates the impact of monetary policy on exchange rates and stock prices of eight small open economies: Australia, Canada, the Republic of Korea, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. On average across these countries in the full sample, a one percentage point surprise rise in official interest rates leads to a 1% appreciation of the exchange rate and a 0.5–1% fall in stock prices, with somewhat stronger effects in OECD countries than non-OECD countries (though differences are sometimes not significant). We find little robust evidence of a change in the effect of monetary policy surprises during the recent financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Pennings, Steven & Ramayandi, Arief & Tang, Hsiao Chink, 2015. "The impact of monetary policy on financial markets in small open economies: More or less effective during the global financial crisis?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 60-70.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:44:y:2015:i:c:p:60-70
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.01.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy effectiveness; Exchange rates; Stock prices; Crisis; Asian economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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