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Monetary Policy Transmission in Mauritius Using a VAR Analysis

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  • Mr. Charalambos G Tsangarides

Abstract

Applying commonly used vector autoregression (VAR) techniques, this paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy on output and prices for Mauritius, using data for 1999-2009. The results show that (i) an unexpected monetary policy tightening-an increase in the Bank of Mauritius policy interest rate-leads to a decline in prices and output but the effect on output is weaker; (ii) an unexpected decrease in the money supply or an unexpected increase in the nominal effective exchange rate result in a decrease in prices; and (iii) variations of the policy variables account for small a percentage of the fluctuations in output and prices. Taken together, these results suggest a rather weak monetary policy transmission mechanism. Finally, we find some differences in the transmission mechanism depending on whether core or headline consumer price index is used in the estimations.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Charalambos G Tsangarides, 2010. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Mauritius Using a VAR Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2010/036, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/036
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gottschalk, Jan & Moore, David, 2001. "Implementing Inflation Targeting Regimes: The Case of Poland," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 24-39, March.
    2. Katerina Arnostova & Jaromir Hurnik, 2005. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic (evidence from VAR analysis)," Working Papers 2005/04, Czech National Bank.
    3. Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Mr. Holger Floerkemeier, 2006. "Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia: Evidence from VAR Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2006/248, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Indranarain Ramlall, 2012. "Broad Money Demand in Mauritius with Implications for Monetary Policy," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 4(8), pages 436-448.
    3. Federico Inchausti-Sintes & Ubay Pérez-Granja, 2022. "Monetary policy and exchange rate regime in tourist islands," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(2), pages 325-348, March.
    4. Kishan Abeygunawardana & Chandranath Amarasekara & C. D. Tilakaratne, 2017. "Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 18(1), pages 21-38, March.
    5. Ashwin Madhou & Tayushma Sewak & Imad Moosa & Vikash Ramiah & Florian Gerth, 2021. "Towards Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting Monetary Policy Regime in Mauritius," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-18, March.
    6. Thi Mai Lan Nguyen, 2020. "Output Effects of Monetary Policy in Emerging and Developing Countries: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 68-85, January.

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    Keywords

    WP; core CPI; math;
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