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Does Fiscal Policy Matter for the Trade Account? A Panel Cointegration Study

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  • Mr. Christiane Nickel
  • Ms. Katja Funke

Abstract

This paper analyzes the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the trade account. Research prior to this paper did not consider that the components of private and public demand in the import demand equation exhibit different elasticities. Using pooled mean group estimation for annual panel data of the G-7 countries for the years 1970 through 2002, we provide empirical evidence that the composition of overall demand-i.e., the distribution among public demand, private demand, and export demand-has an impact on the magnitude of the trade account deficit.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Christiane Nickel & Ms. Katja Funke, 2006. "Does Fiscal Policy Matter for the Trade Account? A Panel Cointegration Study," IMF Working Papers 2006/147, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2006/147
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Mariarosaria Comunale & Jeroen Hessel, 2014. "Current account imbalances in the Euro area: Competitiveness or financial cycle?," DNB Working Papers 443, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
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    4. Mr. Alexander D Klemm, 2013. "Growth Following Investment and Consumption-Driven Current Account Crises," IMF Working Papers 2013/217, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Тұрабай Бердібек // Turabai Berdibek & Ускенбаев Азат // Uskenbayev Azat & Муратов Жасулан // Muratov Zhassulan & Алмагамбетова Меруерт // Almagambetova Meruyert & Оспанов Нурлан // Ospanov Nurlan, 2023. "Влияние государственных расходов на текущий счет платежного баланса Казахстана через канал импорта товаров // The impact of the government expenditures on the current account of the balance of payment," Working Papers #2023-5, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
    6. Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Nickel, Christiane, 2008. "Fiscal policies, the current account and Ricardian equivalence," Working Paper Series 935, European Central Bank.
    7. António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2008. "Budgetary and External Imbalances Relationship : a Panel Data Diagnostic," Working Papers Department of Economics 2008/45, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    8. Jorge Silva, 2017. "Are external accounts sustainable in Portugal?," Working Papers REM 2017/21, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    9. Yoichi Matsubayashi, 2010. "Budget Deficits and Current Account in Japan and the U.S.: An Empirical Evidence on the Twin Deficits Hypothesis," Discussion Papers 1010, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    10. Sadaf Majeed & Abdul Waheed, 2012. "Analyzing the Import Demand Function with Expenditure Components: Evidence from Pakistan," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 19(2), pages 245-259, November.
    11. Burcu KIRAN, 2011. "On The Twin Deficits Hypothesis: Evidence From Turkey," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 11(1).

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