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The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention

Author

Listed:
  • Ms. Uma Ramakrishnan
  • Mr. Juan Zalduendo

Abstract

This paper examines the role of IMF-supported programs in crisis prevention; specifically, whether, conditional on an episode of intense market pressures, IMF financial support helps prevent a capital account crisis from developing and, if so, through what channels. In doing so, the paper distinguishes between the seal of approval inherent in IMF support and its financing, evaluates the interaction of IMF support with economic policies, and assesses whether IMF financing has a different impact on the likelihood of a crisis than other forms of liquidity. The main result is that IMF financing helps prevent crises through the liquidity provided (i.e., money matters). However, since the effect holds even after controlling for (gross) foreign exchange reserves, stronger policies and the seal of approval under an IMFsupported program must also play a role. Finally, the results suggest that IMF financing as a crisis prevention tool is most effective for an intermediate range of economic fundamentals.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Uma Ramakrishnan & Mr. Juan Zalduendo, 2006. "The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention," IMF Working Papers 2006/075, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2006/075
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wenwen Sheng & M. C. Sunny Wong, 2017. "Capital Flow Management Policies and Riskiness of External Liability Structures: the Role of Local Financial Markets," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 461-498, July.
    2. Mr. Stephan Danninger & Ms. Irina Tytell & Mr. Ravi Balakrishnan & Mr. Selim A Elekdag, 2009. "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 2009/133, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Patrick A. Imam, 2013. "Impact Of Imf-Supported Programs On Economic Sentiments: A Multinomial Ordered Probit Analysis On Transition Economies," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(01), pages 1-27.
    4. Ravi Balakrishnan & Stephan Danninger & Selim Elekdag & Irina Tytell, 2011. "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 40-68, May.
    5. Mr. Jun I Kim, 2007. "Unconditional IMF Financial Support and Investor Moral Hazard," IMF Working Papers 2007/104, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Khan, Rana Ejaz Ali & Nawaz, Muhammad Atif & Hussain, Altaf, 2011. "Impact evaluation of structural adjustment program: a case of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 34835, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Mr. Mauro Mecagni & Mr. Ruben V Atoyan & Mr. David J Hofman, 2009. "The Persistence of Capital Account Crises," IMF Working Papers 2009/103, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Dženan Đonlagić & Amra Kožarić, 2010. "Justification Of Criticism Of The International Financial Institutions," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 55(186), pages 115-132, July – Se.
    9. Pope, Robin & Selten, Reinhard & Kube, Sebastian & von Hagen, Jürgen, 2009. "Managed Floats to Damp Shocks like 1982-5 and 2006-9: Field and Laboratory Evidence for Chinese Interest in a Single World Currency," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 26/2009, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    10. Mr. Jun I Kim, 2008. "Sudden Stops and Optimal Self-Insurance," IMF Working Papers 2008/144, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Mr. Jesus R Gonzalez-Garcia & Mr. John Cady, 2006. "The IMF’s Reserves Template and Nominal Exchange Rate Volatility," IMF Working Papers 2006/274, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Pradeep Mitra & Marcelo Selowsky & Juan Zalduendo, 2010. "Turmoil at Twenty : Recession, Recovery, and Reform in Central and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2682.

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