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Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility

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  • Ms. Anne Epaulard
  • Ms. Aude Pommeret

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the welfare gains from financial integration for developing and emerging market economies. To do so, we build a stochastic endogenous growth model for a small open economy that can (i) borrow from the rest of the world, (ii) invest in foreign assets, and (iii) receive foreign direct investment (FDI). The model is calibrated on 32 emerging market and developing economies for which we evaluate the upper bound for the welfare gain from financial integration. For plausible values of preference parameters and actual levels of financial integration, the mean welfare gain from financial integration is about 10 percent of initial wealth. Compared with financial autarky, actual levels of financial integration translate into slightly higher annual growth rates (around 0.4 percentage point per year.)

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Anne Epaulard & Ms. Aude Pommeret, 2005. "Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility," IMF Working Papers 2005/067, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2005/067
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    Cited by:

    1. Raouf Boucekkine & Giorgio Fabbri & Patrick A. Pintus, 2018. "Short-run pain, long-run gain: the conditional welfare gains from international financial integration," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 65(2), pages 329-360, March.
    2. Boucekkine, R. & Fabbri, G. & Pintus, P., 2014. "Growth and financial liberalization under capital collateral constraints: The striking case of the stochastic AK model with CARA preferences," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 303-307.
    3. Raouf Boucekkine & Giorgio Fabbri & Patrick A. Pintus, 2018. "Short-run pain, long-run gain: the conditional welfare gains from international financial integration," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 65(2), pages 329-360, March.
    4. Nabi, Mahmoud Sami & Ben Aissa, Safouane & Drine, Imed, 2008. "Ouverture financière et rattrapage technologique : Evidence empirique à partir du bassin méditerranéen [Financial Openness and Technological Catch-up: Empirical Evidence from the Mediterranean Basi," MPRA Paper 20637, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2009.
    5. Shotar, M.M. & El-Mefleh, M.A., 2009. "Economic Exposure To Exchange Rates In Jordan Companies: A Monthly Econometric Model Of The Rate Of Return Of Firms, 2004-2007," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(1).
    6. repec:gei:journl:v:4:y:2017:i:1:p:136-150 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Raouf Boucekkine & Xianhai Huang, 2016. "Globalization: Financial, Trade and Institutional Aspects with Applications to China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 324-329, August.
    8. Fatma Tasdemir, 2023. "Financial Globalization and Growth: The Impacts of Financial Development and Governance," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 99-111, June.
    9. Martin D. D. Evans & Viktoria Hnatkovska, 2005. "Solving General Equilibrium Models with Incomplete Markets and Many Assets," NBER Technical Working Papers 0318, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Keilla Dayane Silva-Oliveira & Edson Keyso Miranda Kubo & Michael J. Morley & Rodrigo Médici Cândido, 2021. "Emerging Economy Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment: A Bibliometric and Thematic Content Analysis," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 643-679, October.
    11. Abdul Wahid & Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz, 2018. "The Paradigm Shift in the Pakistan Stock Exchange’s Financial Integration Post-FTA and CPEC," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 23(1), pages 21-50, Jan-June.
    12. Rodolfo Cermeño & María Roa García & Claudio González-Vega, 2012. "Financial Development and Volatility of Growth: Time Series Evidence for Mexico and USA," DEGIT Conference Papers c017_035, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    13. Alena Kimakova, 2009. "Government size and openness revisited: the case of financial globalization," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(3), pages 394-406, August.
    14. Sohel Azad, A.S.M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Fang, Victor & Wickramanayake, Jayasinghe, 2015. "International swap market contagion and volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 355-371.
    15. Michael Donadelli & Ivan Gufler, 2021. "Consumption smoothing, risk sharing and financial integration," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 143-187, January.
    16. Rodolfo Cermeño Bazán & María Roa García & Claudio González Vega, 2012. "Financial Development and Growth Volatility: Time Series Evidence for Mexico and The United States," Working Papers DTE 544, CIDE, División de Economía.
    17. Chaipat Poonpatpibul & Surach Tanboon & Pornnapa Leelapornchai, 2006. "The Role of Financial Integration in East Asia in Promoting Regional Growth and Stability," Working Papers 2006-05, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    18. Shaikh Muhammad Saleem, 2017. "Does International Financial Integration Spur Economic Growth? Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 4(1), pages 116-130, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; certainty equivalent; open economy; risk premium; optimal portfolio; Financial Integration; Risk-sharing; Endogenous Growth; Stochastic Growth; autarky economy; welfare gain; consumption-saving decision; economy benefit; FDI flow; gain from FDI; Foreign direct investment; Consumption; Return on investment; Global; Asia and Pacific;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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