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Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? the Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment

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  • Roberto Benelli

Abstract

I analyze empirically whether program size (the size of financial assistance) and policy adjustment matter for the success of IMF-supported programs. I define a program as successful if the initial program projections for net private capital flows are met or exceeded. I find that success is negatively associated with the size of financial assistance, especially in countries with market access, and that projection biases binding constraints on the amount of IMF lending may account for this association. Moreover, policy adjustment seems to have a causal positive effect on the likelihood of program success.

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  • Roberto Benelli, 2003. "Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? the Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment," IMF Working Papers 2003/231, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2003/231
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    Cited by:

    1. Krahnke, Tobias, 2020. "Doing more with less: The catalytic function of IMF lending and the role of program size," Discussion Papers 18/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Thanh Truc Nguyen, 2023. "The effect of International Monetary Fund programs on corporate default risk," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 1156-1174, January.
    3. Patrick A. Imam, 2013. "Impact Of Imf-Supported Programs On Economic Sentiments: A Multinomial Ordered Probit Analysis On Transition Economies," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(01), pages 1-27.
    4. Committeri, Marco & L´Hotellerie-Fallois, Pilar & Algarra, Monica & Balteanu, Irina & Eijking, Carlijn & Estefanía, Julia & Gallego, Sonsoles & Garelli, Serena & Gibson, Heather & Heinbuecher, Robert , 2019. "Conditionality and design of IMF-supported programmes," Occasional Paper Series 235, European Central Bank.
    5. Mr. Ali J Al-Sadiq, 2015. "The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2015/157, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Claudia Maurini & Alessandro Schiavone, 2021. "The catalytic role of IMF programs," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1331, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Bellos Sotirios K., 2016. "IMF programs and policies assessment in the transition economies during the transition and the post-transition period," Journal of Heterodox Economics, Sciendo, vol. 3(2), pages 102-127, December.
    8. Javier Díaz-Cassou & Alicia García-Herrero & Luis Molina, 2006. "What kind of capital flows does the IMF catalyze and when?," Working Papers 0617, Banco de España.

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