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Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Benjamin L Hunt
  • Mr. Peter Isard

Abstract

The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through implies uncertainty about policy multipliers and the impact of state variables on stabilization objectives. When faced with uncertainty about the strength of exchange rate pass-through, policymakers will make less costly errors by overestimating the strength of pass-through rather than underestimating it. The analysis suggests that pass-through uncertainty of the magnitude considered does not result in efficient policy response coefficients that are smaller than those under certainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Benjamin L Hunt & Mr. Peter Isard, 2003. "Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Working Papers 2003/025, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2003/025
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wollmershauser, Timo, 2006. "Should central banks react to exchange rate movements? An analysis of the robustness of simple policy rules under exchange rate uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 493-519, September.
    2. Alpaslan, Baris & Demirel, Baki, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through Effect on Prices and Inflation Targeting: A Comparison of Emerging Market Economies," MPRA Paper 53726, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Armine Khachatryan & Mr. David A. Grigorian & Grigor Sargsyan, 2004. "Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages: What is Driving Prices in Armenia?," IMF Working Papers 2004/229, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Ms. Keiko Honjo & Mr. Benjamin L Hunt, 2006. "Stabilizing Inflation in Iceland," IMF Working Papers 2006/262, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Benjamin Hunt & Peter Isard, 2003. "Some implications for monetary policy of uncertain exchange rate pass‐through," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(5), pages 567-584, November.
    6. Hossein-Ali Fakher, 2016. "The Empirical Relationship between Fiscal Deficits and Inflation (Case Study: Selected Asian Economies)," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 20(4), pages 551-579, Autumn.

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