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Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Benjamin L Hunt
  • Mr. Peter Isard

Abstract

The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through implies uncertainty about policy multipliers and the impact of state variables on stabilization objectives. When faced with uncertainty about the strength of exchange rate pass-through, policymakers will make less costly errors by overestimating the strength of pass-through rather than underestimating it. The analysis suggests that pass-through uncertainty of the magnitude considered does not result in efficient policy response coefficients that are smaller than those under certainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Benjamin L Hunt & Mr. Peter Isard, 2003. "Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Working Papers 2003/025, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2003/025
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alpaslan, Baris & Demirel, Baki, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through Effect on Prices and Inflation Targeting: A Comparison of Emerging Market Economies," MPRA Paper 53726, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Wollmershauser, Timo, 2006. "Should central banks react to exchange rate movements? An analysis of the robustness of simple policy rules under exchange rate uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 493-519, September.
    3. Armine Khachatryan & Mr. David A. Grigorian & Grigor Sargsyan, 2004. "Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages: What is Driving Prices in Armenia?," IMF Working Papers 2004/229, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Hossein-Ali Fakher, 2016. "The Empirical Relationship between Fiscal Deficits and Inflation (Case Study: Selected Asian Economies)," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 20(4), pages 551-579, Autumn.
    5. Ms. Keiko Honjo & Mr. Benjamin L Hunt, 2006. "Stabilizing Inflation in Iceland," IMF Working Papers 2006/262, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Benjamin Hunt & Peter Isard, 2003. "Some implications for monetary policy of uncertain exchange rate pass‐through," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(5), pages 567-584, November.

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