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Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets

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  • Mr. Norbert Funke

Abstract

Using a panel of 16 emerging markets, the paper finds a small but statistically significant effect of stock market developments on private consumption spending. In the short run, a 10 percent decline in the annual real stock market return is associated with a reduction in real private consumption by around 0.1-0.3 percent on average. There is evidence that the link between stock market fluctuations and private consumption has become stronger during the 1990s as stock markets in emerging economies have broadened and deepened. However, there is no significant evidence that the influence is asymmetric. Stock price declines do not have a different impact on consumption than stock price increases.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Norbert Funke, 2002. "Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2002/238, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2002/238
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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=16219
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln & Norbert Funke, 2004. "Stock market liberalizations: Financial and macroeconomic implications," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 140(3), pages 730-761, September.
    2. Ramiz Rahmanov, 2013. "Stock Market Wealth Effects in Emerging Economies of Eastern Europe: Evidence from Russia and Ukraine," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 5(1).
    3. Ms. Sanchita Mukherjee & Ms. Rina Bhattacharya, 2011. "Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms in Emerging Market Economies," IMF Working Papers 2011/229, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Moawia Alghalith & Tracy Polius, 2013. "The Relationship between the Stock Market and Consumption," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(1), pages 135-138, March.
    5. Tuan Viet Le, 2020. "Freedom of the Press and Equity Returns: Empirical Investigation in Emerging Markets," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(3), pages 359-377, September.
    6. Sohrab Abizadeh & Dennis Ng, 2009. "Equities, liquidity and consumption: does the stock market matter?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(15), pages 1187-1196.
    7. Caroline Van Rijckeghem, 2010. "Determinants of Private Saving in Turkey: An Update," Working Papers 2010/04, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.

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