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Ukraine: Selected Issues

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the Ukrainian business cycle. It focuses on the price of steel—Ukraine’s major export—and its relation to the economic performance. It establishes a forecasting model for steel prices, which points to downside risks to steel prices. It discusses the effects of steel price fluctuations on economic activity and how policies might then mitigate them. The paper also develops core inflation indicators for Ukraine to better distinguish underlying from temporary influences on inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Ukraine: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2008/228, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfscr:2008/228
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nathalie Girouard & Christophe André, 2005. "Measuring Cyclically-adjusted Budget Balances for OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 434, OECD Publishing.
    2. Stefania Fabrizio & Ashoka Mody, 2006. "Can budget institutions counteract political indiscipline? [‘Constitutions, politics, and economics’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 21(48), pages 690-739.
    3. Mr. Ashoka Mody & Ms. Stefania Fabrizio, 2006. "Can Budget Institutions Counteract Political Indiscipline?," IMF Working Papers 2006/123, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Novikova Natalia & Volkov Dmitry, 2012. "Modelling core inflation in Ukraine in 2003-2012," EERC Working Paper Series 12/12e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.

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