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Testable implications of multiple equilibria in discrete games with correlated types

Author

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  • Áureo de Paula

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and University College London)

  • Xun Tang

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Rice University)

Abstract

We study testable implications of multiple equilibria in discrete games with incomplete information. Unlike de Paula and Tang (2012), we allow the players’ private signals to be correlated. In static games, we leverage independence of private types across games whose equilibrium selection is correlated. In dynamic games with serially correlated discrete unobserved heterogeneity, our testable implication builds on the fact that the distribution of a sequence of choices and states are mixtures over equilibria and unobserved heterogeneity. The number of mixture components is a known function of the length of the sequence as well as the cardinality of equilibria and unobserved heterogeneity support. In both static and dynamic cases, these testable implications are implementable using existing statistical tools.

Suggested Citation

  • Áureo de Paula & Xun Tang, 2020. "Testable implications of multiple equilibria in discrete games with correlated types," CeMMAP working papers CWP56/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:56/20
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lin, Zhongjian & Tang, Xun & Yu, Ning Neil, 2021. "Uncovering heterogeneous social effects in binary choices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 959-973.

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