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Liquidity Shocks and Asset Prices

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  • GUERRON-QUINTANA, Pablo A.
  • JINNAI, Ryo
  • 陣内, 了

Abstract

In models of liquidity, stock market booms tend to follow adverse liquidity shocks. This result is clearly at odds with the data. We demonstrate that allowing for endogenous productivity corrects this puzzling price dynamics. Negative growth prospects decrease equity prices because of a long-run predictable component in dividend growth.

Suggested Citation

  • GUERRON-QUINTANA, Pablo A. & JINNAI, Ryo & 陣内, 了, 2015. "Liquidity Shocks and Asset Prices," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-17, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:hiasdp:hias-e-17
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Kung, Howard, 2015. "Macroeconomic linkages between monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 42-57.
    6. Massimiliano Croce, Mariano, 2014. "Long-run productivity risk: A new hope for production-based asset pricing?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 13-31.
    7. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:4:p:1481-1509 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Pablo Kurlat, 2013. "Lemons Markets and the Transmission of Aggregate Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(4), pages 1463-1489, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ohdoi, Ryoji, 2024. "Financial shocks to banks, R&D investment, and recessions," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(5), pages 999-1022, July.
    2. Werner, Maximilian, 2023. "Occasionally binding liquidity constraints and macroeconomic dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    3. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
    4. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 118-166, August.
    5. Mahdi Nezafat & Ctirad Slavik, 2021. "Asset Prices and Business Cycles with Liquidity Shocks," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp711, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    6. Marco Del Negro & Gauti Eggertsson & Andrea Ferrero & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, 2017. "The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed's Liquidity Facilities," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(3), pages 824-857, March.
    7. Toshiaki Ogawa, 2020. "Liquidity Management of Heterogeneous Banks during the Great Recession," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-05, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    8. Robert Amano & Thomas Carter & Sylvain Leduc, 2019. "Precautionary Pricing: The Disinflationary Effects of ELB Risk," Working Paper Series 2019-26, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2018. "Trends, cycles and lost decades: Decomposition from a DSGE model with endogenous growth," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 9-28.

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    Keywords

    liquidity; asset prices; endogenous growth; long-run risk;
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