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Foresight Evaluation: Lessons from Project Management

Author

Listed:
  • Ekaterina Makarova

    (Higher School of Economics (Russia), Research Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies, research assistant,)

  • Anna Sokolova

    (Higher School of Economics (Russia), Research Laboratory for Science and Technology Studies, senior research fellow,)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to identify ways for improvement of the Foresight evaluation framework on the basis of analysis and systematisation of accumulated experience in the field of project management. The paper is based on a detailed literature review related to an evaluation of Foresight and traditional projects. The comparison of evaluation approaches allows to provide recommendations for Foresight evaluation framework improvement. The elements which can enrich Foresight evaluation process are the following: the development of an evaluation model; the extensive use of quantitative methods; the elaboration of evaluation scales; the inclusion of economic indicators into evaluation; and the provision of more openness and transparency for evaluation results. Given the importance of Foresight evaluation procedures and the lack of a commonly applied methodological approach, the value of this paper consists in identifying a Foresight evaluation framework and enriching it with elements of project management.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekaterina Makarova & Anna Sokolova, 2012. "Foresight Evaluation: Lessons from Project Management," HSE Working papers WP BRP 01/MAN/2012, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hig:wpaper:01man2012
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    File URL: http://www.hse.ru/data/2012/03/26/1265598177/01MAN2012.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Attila Havas & Doris Schartinger & Matthias Weber, 2010. "The impact of foresight on innovation policy-making: recent experiences and future perspectives," Research Evaluation, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 91-104, June.
    2. Remer, Donald S. & Nieto, Armando P., 1995. "A compendium and comparison of 25 project evaluation techniques. Part 1: Net present value and rate of return methods," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 79-96, November.
    3. Kerstin Cuhls & Luke Georghiou, 2004. "Evaluating a participative foresight process: ‘Futur - the German research dialogue’," Research Evaluation, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 143-153, December.
    4. Eilat, Harel & Golany, Boaz & Shtub, Avraham, 2008. "R&D project evaluation: An integrated DEA and balanced scorecard approach," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 895-912, October.
    5. Remer, Donald S. & Stokdyk, Scott B. & Van Driel, Mike, 1993. "Survey of project evaluation techniques currently used in industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 103-115, August.
    6. Remer, Donald S. & Nieto, Armando P., 1995. "A compendium and comparison of 25 project evaluation techniques. Part 2: Ratio, payback, and accounting methods," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 101-129, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mihail Nikolaevich Dudin & Nikolaj Vasilevich Lyasnikov & Vladimir Dmitriyevich Sekerin & Anna Evgenevna Gorohova & Vyacheslav Viktorovich Burlakov, 2016. "Provision of Energy Security at the National Level in the Context of the Global Gas Transportation Industry Development," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 234-242.
    2. Marcin Olkiewicz, 2018. "Quality improvement through foresight methodology as a direction to increase the effectiveness of an organization," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(1), March.
    3. Anna Sokolova, 2013. "The integrated approach for Foresight evaluation: the Russian case," HSE Working papers WP BRP 20/STI/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foresight; Evaluation; Project management; Framework.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O22 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Project Analysis
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

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