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The impact of cumulative tonnes on track failures: An empirical approach

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Abstract

Cost-benefit analysis is often used in appraisal of rail infrastructure investments. A corresponding decision support is, however, not available for rail infrastructure maintenance and renewal. To for example decide whether to renew or continue to maintain an infrastructure asset, a relationship between cumulative traffic and infrastructure failures is required. This relationship is established in this paper, using an empirical (top-down) approach on Swedish data for years 2003 to 2016. It is shown that the average elasticity for track failures with respect to cumulative tonnes is 0.32, and that the elasticity varies for different levels of traffic and for different infrastructure characteristics. The results in this paper can for example be used to calculate the impact cumulative tonnes have on train delay costs, which together with a relationship between cumulative traffic and infrastructure maintenance costs are essential in an economic optimization of maintenance and renewal activities.

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  • Odolinski, Kristofer, 2019. "The impact of cumulative tonnes on track failures: An empirical approach," Papers 2019:1, Research Programme in Transport Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:trnspr:2019_001
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    1. Marc Gaudry & Bernard Lapeyre & Emile Quinet, 2016. "Infrastructure maintenance, regeneration and service quality economics: A rail example," PSE - Labex "OSE-Ouvrir la Science Economique" halshs-01380072, HAL.
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    3. Smith, Andrew S.J. & Odolinski, Kristofer & Hossein Nia, Saeed & Jönsson, Per-Anders & Stichel, Sebastian & Iwnicki, Simon & Wheat, Phillip, 2016. "Estimating the marginal cost of different vehicle types on rail infrastructure," Working papers in Transport Economics 2016:26, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    4. Odolinski , Kristofer, 2016. "The impact of cumulative tons on rail infrastructure maintenance costs," Working papers in Transport Economics 2016:28, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    5. Hausman, Jerry & Hall, Bronwyn H & Griliches, Zvi, 1984. "Econometric Models for Count Data with an Application to the Patents-R&D Relationship," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(4), pages 909-938, July.
    6. Gaudry, Marc & Lapeyre, Bernard & Quinet, Émile, 2016. "Infrastructure maintenance, regeneration and service quality economics: A rail example," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 181-210.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nilsson, Jan-Eric & Odolinski, Kristofer, 2020. "When should infrastructure assets be renewed?: the economic impact of cumulative tonnes on railway infrastructure," Papers 2020:4, Research Programme in Transport Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rail infrastructure; Track failures; Cumulative traffic; Infrastructure management;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • R49 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Other

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