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Testing for the Lucas Critique: A Quantitative Investigation

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  • Lindé, Jesper

    (Research Department)

Abstract

In this paper, I try to shed some new light on the "puzzle" why the Lucas critique, believed to be important by most economists, seems to have received very little empirical support. I use a real business cycle model to verify that the Lucas critique is quantitatively important in theory, and to examine the properties of the super exogeneity test, which is used to detect the applicability of the Lucas critique in practice. The results suggest that the super exogeneity test is not capable of detecting the relevance of Lucas critique in practice in small samples.

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  • Lindé, Jesper, 1999. "Testing for the Lucas Critique: A Quantitative Investigation," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 311, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 25 May 2000.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:hastef:0311
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lucas critique; real business cycle model; super exogeneity test; Taylor rules; money demand; consumption function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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