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Has Sweden’s government budget policy been too discretionary? Evidence from a generalization of the tax smoothing hypothesis

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  • Adler, Johan

    (Department of Economics, School of Economics and Commercial Law, Göteborg University)

Abstract

Barro's (1979) tax smoothing hypothesis (TSH) assumes that the government is always subject to an optimal degree of discretion in budget policy, i.e., optimal in the sense that the welfare costs from taxation are minimized. This paper proposes a generalization of the TSH that relaxes this crucial assumption. Postwar evidence for Sweden indicates that in contrast to the TSH, the generalized model provides close to a perfect fit: Tax smoothing behavior in combination with more discretion in budget policy relative to what is optimal, can explain all shifts in the central government's budget balance, including the dramatic shifts during the period 1970-96.

Suggested Citation

  • Adler, Johan, 2003. "Has Sweden’s government budget policy been too discretionary? Evidence from a generalization of the tax smoothing hypothesis," Working Papers in Economics 89, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0089
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2077/2827
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tax smoothing; Discretion; Budget policy; Budget deficits;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems

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