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An information-theoretic extension to structural VAR modelling

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  • Nikolaus A. Siegfried

Abstract

This paper discusses techniques for estimating structural vector autoregressions. Especially when monetary policy shocks are estimated, VAR residuals turn out to be leptokurtic. It is argued that this is no coincidence but follows directly from the properties of monetary policy decisions. The paper proceeds to suggest an independent components estimator (ICE) that works well with leptokurtic residuals. Furthermore, the ICE permits a closer link between theory and estimation because it avoids informal imposition of zero restrictions. Using the exercises by Blanchard & Quah (1989) and Christiano, Eichenbaum & Evans (1999), the new estimator is demonstrated and contrasted with current modelling techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaus A. Siegfried, 2002. "An information-theoretic extension to structural VAR modelling," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20203, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ham:qmwops:20203
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    File URL: http://www.rrz.uni-hamburg.de/wst/qmwps/icepap.pdf
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2010. "Structural Vector Autoregressions With Nonnormal Residuals," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 159-168.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Keywords: Structural Vector Autoregressions; Information Theory; Monetary Transmission Mechanism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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